MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees (September 15, 2026)
The New York Yankees (87-63) face the Minnesota Twins (70-80) at Target Field on Tuesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Max Fried is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Bailey Ober is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Yankees are favored to win at -180, while the Twins are at +148. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -116.
- The Yankees (-102) have an 81-69 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-118) hold a record of 78-72.
- The Yankees have a 65-79-6 O/U record this season (meaning 65 games have gone over the total runs line, 79 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Twins have an 80-60-10 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Yankees are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.6 (10th).
- In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.7 runs per game this season (1st in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Yankees are at .235 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .244 (15th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 175 (T13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 207 (2nd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 654 RBIs to rank 12th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 656 RBIs to rank 10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.22 (1st in the Majors), while the Twins are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.71 (26th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 1346 this season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 1255.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .251 against the Twins this season (23rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Yankees' opponents are at .222 (2nd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 37-34-79 | 21-16-37 | 16-18-42 | 32-24-65 | 5-10-14 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
| Twins | 36-41-73 | 18-13-44 | 18-27-29 | 12-12-25 | 24-29-48 | 0-1-0 | 1-4-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Yankees are -180 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are +140.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 67-43-40 | 33-20-21 | 34-23-19 | 55-33-33 | 12-10-7 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
| Twins | 59-62-29 | 33-24-18 | 26-37-11 | 21-17-11 | 38-45-18 | 0-1-0 | 3-6-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 77-73 in Yankees games this season. The Twins have a 61-89 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded an 8-3 victory over the Twins at Target Field yesterday. Jose Caballero was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. The Yankees have now won three straight at Target Field against the Twins.
