home team icon
away team icon

MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays (September 21, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (77-79) face the Baltimore Orioles (75-81) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday at 6:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Trey Yesavage is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Shane Baz is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Orioles are favored to win at -111, while the Blue Jays are at -108. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Blue Jays (+154) have a 78-78 Run Line record this season, while the Orioles (-187) hold a record of 80-76.
  • The Blue Jays have an 80-71-5 O/U record this season (meaning 80 games have gone over the total runs line, 71 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 77-74-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles are averaging +0.4 more at 4.4 runs (T15th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (11th in the league), while the Orioles are allowing an average of 4.6 runs (21st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .248 (ranking 8th in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .234 (27th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Orioles have hit 189 (10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 149 (T28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 598 RBIs to rank T29th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 668 RBIs to rank 14th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.12 this season (14th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.91 (9th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 1355 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 1264.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .253 against the Orioles this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .236 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 31-42-83 15-23-40 16-19-43 20-25-41 11-17-42 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Orioles 29-32-95 11-13-54 18-19-41 11-10-50 18-22-45 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 53-66-37 25-31-22 28-35-15 33-33-20 20-33-17 0-0-0 4-5-1
    Orioles 52-64-40 26-31-21 26-33-19 24-26-21 28-38-19 0-0-0 4-5-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 78-78 in Blue Jays games this season. The Orioles have an 87-69 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded an 8-1 victory over the Orioles at Rogers Centre when these teams last met on September 13. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and an RBI.