MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox (October 3, 2026)
The Chicago White Sox face the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in Game 1 of the MLB League Division Round on Saturday at 1:00pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Hagen Smith is the probable pitcher for the White Sox, while Parker Messick is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -157, while the White Sox are at +130. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at +102 and UNDER at -123.
- The White Sox (-171) have a 92-72 Run Line record since the beginning of the regular season, while the Guardians (+141) hold a record of 77-85.
- The White Sox have a 94-68-2 O/U record since the beginning of the regular season (meaning 94 games have gone over the total runs line, 68 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 77-83-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The White Sox are averaging 4.8 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging only 4.2 (24th).
- In the field, the White Sox are allowing 4.4 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (15th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (8th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages [this season/during the regular season], the White Sox are at .236 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .239 (24th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs [this season/during the regular season], the White Sox are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 211 to rank 5th. Alternatively, the Guardians are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 162 (27th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the White Sox have recorded 740 RBIs to rank 5th in the MLB [this season/during the regular season]. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 650 RBIs to rank 24th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.77 [this season/during the regular season] (8th in the Majors), while The White Sox have an ERA of 4.12 (15th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the White Sox have recorded 1337 [this season/during the regular season], ranking T16th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 3rd for total strikeouts, recording 1530.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Guardians [this season/during the regular season] (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the White Sox's opponents are at .243 (17th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Sox | 44-42-78 | 23-19-39 | 21-23-39 | 15-8-30 | 29-34-48 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
| Guardians | 37-29-96 | 21-14-46 | 16-15-50 | 26-19-57 | 11-10-39 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The White Sox are +110 to lead after three innings, while the Guardians are -140.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Sox | 62-56-46 | 33-24-24 | 29-32-22 | 22-10-21 | 40-46-25 | 0-0-0 | 8-1-1 |
| Guardians | 59-52-51 | 35-25-21 | 24-27-30 | 40-33-29 | 19-19-22 | 0-0-0 | 5-1-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 72-92 in White Sox games [this season/during the regular season]. The Guardians have a 90-72 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded an upset 6-3 victory over the White Sox at Progressive Field when these teams last met on September 16. Petey Halpin was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs.
