MLB Prop Bets: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres (October 3, 2026)
The San Diego Padres face the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Game 1 of the MLB League Division Round on Saturday at 8:30pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Robbie Ray is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Jacob Misiorowski is the probable pitcher for the Brewers. The Brewers are favored to win at -219, while the Padres are at +178. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -109 and UNDER at -110.
- The Padres (-122) have an 87-77 Run Line record since the beginning of the regular season, while the Brewers (+102) hold a record of 85-77.
- The Padres have a 76-82-6 O/U record since the beginning of the regular season (meaning 76 games have gone over the total runs line, 82 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Brewers have a 73-84-5 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Padres are averaging 4.5 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Brewers are averaging +0.7 more at 5.1 runs (2nd).
- In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.2 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (9th in the league), while the Brewers are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (4th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages [this season/during the regular season], the Padres are at .244 (ranking 17th in the Major leagues), while the Brewers are batting .258 (1st).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs [this season/during the regular season], the Brewers have hit 154 (T28th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 183 (T14th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Padres have recorded 696 RBIs to rank T14th in the MLB [this season/during the regular season]. Comparatively, the Brewers have recorded 788 RBIs to rank 2nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.51 [this season/during the regular season] (2nd in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 3.99 (10th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 1315 [this season/during the regular season], ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Brewers rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 1544.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .221 against the Brewers [this season/during the regular season] (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .242 (15th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | 31-30-103 | 17-14-52 | 14-16-49 | 23-13-49 | 8-17-54 | 0-0-2 | 2-1-7 |
| Brewers | 43-31-88 | 30-14-36 | 13-17-51 | 39-24-66 | 4-7-22 | 0-0-1 | 3-0-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Padres are +180 to lead after three innings, while the Brewers are -238.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | 58-64-42 | 34-32-17 | 23-31-25 | 33-28-24 | 25-36-18 | 1-1-0 | 5-3-2 |
| Brewers | 72-53-37 | 40-20-20 | 32-33-16 | 58-41-30 | 14-12-7 | 0-0-1 | 5-3-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 97-67 in Padres games [this season/during the regular season]. The Brewers have an 84-78 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Padres recorded a 4-3 extra innings victory over the Brewers at Petco Park when these teams last met on August 12. Gary Sanchez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs. The Padres have now won three straight against the Brewers.
