MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees (October 3, 2026)
The New York Yankees face the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in Game 1 of the MLB League Division Round on Saturday at 6:30pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Gerrit Cole is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -136, while the Yankees are at +113. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -115.
- The Yankees (-199) have an 89-74 Run Line record since the beginning of the regular season, while the Rays (+163) hold a record of 87-75.
- The Yankees have a 77-80-6 O/U record since the beginning of the regular season (meaning 77 games have gone over the total runs line, 80 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 75-83-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Yankees are averaging 4.6 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.5 (12th).
- In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.7 runs per game [this season/during the regular season] (2nd in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (6th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages [this season/during the regular season], the Rays are at an impressive .258 (ranking 2nd in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting an underwhelming .235 (26th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs [this season/during the regular season], the Rays have hit 169 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 223 (2nd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 706 RBIs to rank T10th in the MLB [this season/during the regular season]. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 700 RBIs to rank 13th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.70 [this season/during the regular season] (7th in the Majors), while The Yankees have an ERA of 3.23 (1st).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 1450 [this season/during the regular season], ranking T6th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 1322.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Rays [this season/during the regular season] (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Yankees' opponents are at .224 (3rd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 40-36-87 | 22-16-44 | 18-20-43 | 34-25-71 | 6-11-16 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
| Rays | 39-31-92 | 20-14-47 | 19-17-45 | 28-22-56 | 11-9-36 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Yankees are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -145.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 72-47-44 | 35-23-24 | 37-24-20 | 58-36-36 | 14-11-8 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Rays | 68-47-47 | 32-25-24 | 36-22-23 | 48-33-25 | 20-14-22 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 85-78 in Yankees games [this season/during the regular season]. The Rays have an 85-77 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded a 6-4 victory over the Rays at Yankee Stadium when these teams last met on September 24. George Lombard Jr. was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 3 RBIs.
