NBA Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns (December 10, 2025)
The Phoenix Suns (14-10) face the Oklahoma City Thunder (23-1) at Paycom Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Thunder opened as 14.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 15.5, leaving the Thunder at -1100 and Suns at +700. The total points line is set at 221.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-103 Oklahoma City.
- The Suns (-112) have a 15-8-1 ATS record this season, while the Thunder (-108) hold a record of 13-11-0.
- The Suns have an 11-13-0 O/U record this season (meaning 11 games have gone over the total points line and 13 have gone under). The Thunder have a 13-11-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Suns are averaging 115.9 points per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder are averaging +7.2 more at 123.0 points (2nd).
- Defensively, the Suns are giving up 113.5 points per game this season (8th in the league), while the Thunder are giving up an average of 106.9 points (1st).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Suns currently rank 25th for pace this season, recording 98.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder sit 17th on that scale with 99.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 44.0% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 56.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Thunder's opponents are taking 44.8% of their attempts from three (24th) and 55.2% from two.
- Comparatively, Oklahoma City takes 41.8% of shots from three (16th), leaving 58.2% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting 41.1% from three (9th) and 58.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 36.8% from deep in 2025/26 (11th in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who are making 37.4% of their attempts (6th).
- On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 35.9% of their three-point attempts (13th), while Oklahoma City's opponents are hitting 36.9% of their shots (21st).
Ball Protection
- The Suns are committing 15.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 22nd in the league, while the Thunder are forcing 17.8 turnovers (1st).
- Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 17.3 turnovers (2nd), while Oklahoma City is committing 12.6 (2nd).
Crashing the Boards
- Phoenix is pulling down 42.5 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 12.8 offensive boards (6th). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 43.3 rebounds (13th), 11.0 of which have come on the offensive end (9th).
- Meanwhile, the Thunder are averaging 44.7 rebounds (13th) and 9.0 offensive rebounds (29th), while the Suns are allowing 41.7 and 11.2, ranking 8th and 10th.
First Quarter Winner
Phoenix is +240 to win the first quarter, while Oklahoma City is -298. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 12-10-2 | 6-6-0 | 6-4-2 | 6-3-0 | 6-7-2 | 5-3-2 |
| Oklahoma City | 14-7-3 | 7-2-2 | 7-5-1 | 14-7-3 | 0-0-0 | 7-1-2 |
First Half Winner
Phoenix is +380 to win the first half and Oklahoma City is -500. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 13-11-0 | 7-5-0 | 6-6-0 | 6-3-0 | 7-8-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Oklahoma City | 18-6-0 | 9-2-0 | 9-4-0 | 18-6-0 | 0-0-0 | 8-2-0 |
HT/FT
Phoenix is +850 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Oklahoma City is -575.
- The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 45.8% of games this season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 70.8% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Wednesday's matchup is +2500 to go to overtime.
- The Suns have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Thunder have appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 11 of Phoenix's 24 games this season. Meanwhile, eight of Oklahoma City's 24 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Oklahoma City recorded a 123-119 victory over Phoenix at Paycom Center when these teams last met on November 28. The Thunder have now won seven straight against the Suns. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander erupted for 37 points on that day.
