NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans (February 4, 2026)

The New Orleans Pelicans (13-39) face the Milwaukee Bucks (19-29) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Pelicans opened as 4.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 5.5, leaving the Pelicans at -205 and Bucks at +170. The total points line is set at 223.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-109 New Orleans.

• The Bucks (-112) have a 20-28-0 ATS record this season, while the Pelicans (-108) hold a record of 26-24-2.
• The Bucks have a 19-29-0 O/U record this season (meaning 19 games have gone over the total points line and 29 have gone under). The Pelicans have a 26-26-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Bucks are averaging 111.5 points per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Pelicans are averaging 114.0 (22nd).
• Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 115.6 points per game this season (15th in the league), while the Pelicans are giving up an average of 120.6 points (28th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 98.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pelicans sit 12th on that scale with 100.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 43.5% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (14th in the league), leaving 56.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Pelicans' opponents are taking 45.3% of their attempts from three (29th) and 54.7% from two.
• Comparatively, New Orleans takes 35.1% of shots from three (26th), leaving 64.9% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting 43.6% from three (24th) and 56.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 39.3% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Pelicans who are making an underwhelming 33.7% of their attempts (29th).
• On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 36.7% of their three-point attempts (23rd), while New Orleans' opponents are hitting 35.7% of their shots (14th).

Ball Protection

• The Bucks are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Pelicans are forcing 14.9 turnovers (12th).
• Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing 13.4 turnovers (23rd), while New Orleans is committing 14.2 (9th).

Crashing the Boards

• Milwaukee is pulling down 40.8 rebounds per game this season (29th in the league), including 8.6 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, New Orleans' opponents are averaging 45.8 rebounds (25th), 12.3 of which have come on the offensive end (27th).
• Meanwhile, the Pelicans are averaging 43.8 rebounds (15th) and 12.6 offensive rebounds (7th), while the Bucks are allowing 45.1 and 11.2, ranking 23rd and 11th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Pelicans are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• New Orleans holds a 2-7 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-5-0 ATS record and 4-5-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Milwaukee has a 3-7 W-L record, 4-6-0 ATS record and 3-7-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Milwaukee is +130 to win the first quarter, while New Orleans is -155. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	21-24-3	9-12-1	12-12-2	9-11-1	12-13-2	2-6-2
New Orleans	20-30-2	11-16-0	9-14-2	3-2-0	17-28-2	3-6-1

First Half Winner

Milwaukee is +145 to win the first half and New Orleans is -175. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	17-31-0	8-14-0	9-17-0	8-13-0	9-18-0	2-8-0
New Orleans	19-32-1	11-15-1	8-17-0	3-2-0	16-30-1	2-8-0

HT/FT

Milwaukee is +240 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New Orleans is -130.

• The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 22.9% of games this season, while the Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 15.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

• The Bucks have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Pelicans have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 22 of Milwaukee's 48 games this season. Meanwhile, 28 of New Orleans' 52 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Milwaukee recorded a 136-111 blowout victory against New Orleans at Fiserv Forum when these teams last met on April 10, 2025. Giannis Antetokounmpo came up big on that day, scoring 28 points and adding 11 rebounds. The Bucks have now won seven straight at Fiserv Forum against the Pelicans.