NBA Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves (February 4, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (31-20) face the Toronto Raptors (30-21) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Raptors opened as 1.5-point favorites, but the Timberwolves have moved into favoritism at -120, with the spread currently set at 1.5. The Raptors are +100. The total points line is set at 226.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-112 Minnesota.

The Raptors (-110) have a 25-26-0 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-110) hold a record of 23-28-0.
The Raptors have a 20-31-0 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total points line and 31 have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 25-26-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Raptors are averaging 113.6 points per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging +5.9 more at 119.5 points (4th).
Defensively, the Raptors are giving up 112.2 points per game this season (8th in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 114.5 points (12th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Raptors currently rank 21st for pace this season, recording 98.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 11th on that scale with 100.7 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, just 37.5% of the Raptors' field goal attempts come from three point range (24th in the league), leaving 62.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking only 39.0% of their attempts from three (5th) and 61.0% from two.
Comparatively, Minnesota takes 42.8% of shots from three (12th), leaving 57.2% from two, while Toronto's opponents are attempting 43.0% from three (15th) and 57.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Raptors are shooting an underwhelming 34.0% from deep in 2025/26 (28th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 37.6% of their attempts (4th).
On the opposite end, Toronto is holding opponents to 34.3% of their three-point attempts (2nd), while Minnesota's opponents are hitting 35.3% of their shots (9th).

Ball Protection

The Raptors are committing 14.0 turnovers per game this season, ranking 8th in the league, while the Timberwolves are forcing 14.9 turnovers (13th).
Flipping that script, Toronto is forcing 15.9 turnovers (6th), while Minnesota is committing 14.5 (15th).

Crashing the Boards

Toronto is pulling down 43.1 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (16th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 43.2 rebounds (11th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (12th).
Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging 44.9 rebounds (12th) and 11.3 offensive rebounds (17th), while the Raptors are allowing 43.6 and 11.1, ranking 13th and 8th.

First Quarter Winner

Toronto is -108 to win the first quarter, while Minnesota is -112. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Toronto	27-22-2	13-12-0	14-10-2	17-11-1	10-11-1	7-3-0
Minnesota	26-23-2	11-13-1	15-10-1	19-18-2	7-5-0	8-2-0

First Half Winner

Toronto is -105 to win the first half and Minnesota is -115. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Toronto	30-21-0	16-9-0	14-12-0	20-9-0	10-12-0	7-3-0
Minnesota	24-25-2	12-12-1	12-13-1	17-20-2	7-5-0	6-4-0

HT/FT

Toronto is +150 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is +125.

The Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 45.1% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 29.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1200 to go to overtime.

The Raptors have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 21 of Toronto's 51 games this season. Meanwhile, 29 of Minnesota's 51 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Toronto recorded an upset 110-105 victory over Minnesota at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on November 21, 2024. RJ Barrett dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 31 points and three steals. The Raptors have now won 20 straight at Scotiabank Arena against the Timberwolves.