NBA Prop Bets: Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics (February 4, 2026)
The Boston Celtics (32-18) face the Houston Rockets (31-17) at Toyota Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 7.5, leaving the Rockets at -258 and Celtics at +210. The total points line is set at 210.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 109-102 Houston.
- The Rockets (-105) have a 22-26-0 ATS record this season, while the Celtics (-115) hold a record of 28-22-0.
- The Rockets have a 21-27-0 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total points line and 27 have gone under). The Celtics have a 19-31-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Rockets are averaging 116.0 points per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Celtics are averaging 116.0 (16th).
- Defensively, the Rockets are giving up only 110.0 points per game this season (4th in the league), while the Celtics are giving up an average of 108.9 points (2nd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Rockets currently rank 28th for pace this season, recording 96.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Celtics sit 30th on that scale with 95.3 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 33.5% of the Rockets' field goal attempts come from three point range (29th in the league), leaving 66.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Celtics' opponents are taking 45.0% of their attempts from three (26th) and 55.0% from two.
- Comparatively, Boston takes 46.3% of shots from three (2nd), leaving 53.7% from two, while Houston's opponents are attempting 39.5% from three (4th) and 60.5% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets are shooting 36.9% from deep in 2025/26 (7th in the NBA), compared to the Celtics who are making 36.7% of their attempts (10th).
- On the opposite end, Houston is holding opponents to 34.7% of their three-point attempts (6th), while Boston's opponents are hitting 36.1% of their shots (18th).
Ball Protection
- The Rockets are committing 15.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 22nd in the league, while the Celtics are forcing 13.5 turnovers (22nd).
- Flipping that script, Houston is forcing only 13.4 turnovers (25th), while Boston is committing just 12.0 (1st).
Crashing the Boards
- Houston is pulling down 49.4 rebounds per game this season (1st in the league), including 16.3 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Boston's opponents are averaging 42.4 rebounds (7th), 11.5 of which have come on the offensive end (16th).
- Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging 45.1 rebounds (11th) and 12.6 offensive rebounds (6th), while the Rockets are allowing 39.3 and 11.1, ranking 1st and 10th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Rockets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Houston holds a 3-3 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 3-3-0 ATS record and 3-3-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Boston has a 5-1 W-L record, 5-1-0 ATS record and 3-3-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
First Quarter Winner
Houston is -162 to win the first quarter, while Boston is +136. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 31-15-2 | 11-9-1 | 20-6-1 | 29-13-2 | 2-2-0 | 5-4-1 |
| Boston | 31-16-3 | 16-7-1 | 15-9-2 | 23-10-3 | 8-6-0 | 6-2-2 |
First Half Winner
Houston is -218 to win the first half and Boston is +180. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 26-20-2 | 11-10-0 | 15-10-2 | 25-18-1 | 1-2-1 | 5-4-1 |
| Boston | 32-15-3 | 16-6-2 | 16-9-1 | 26-8-2 | 6-7-1 | 7-3-0 |
HT/FT
Houston is -170 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Boston is +290.
- The Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 41.7% of games this season, while the Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 48.0% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Wednesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.
- The Rockets have played in six games that went to overtime this season, while the Celtics have appeared in one.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 18 of Houston's 48 games this season. Meanwhile, 19 of Boston's 50 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Houston recorded a 128-101 blowout victory against Boston at TD Garden when these teams last met on November 1. Alperen Sengun was prominent on that day, recording 16 points, 10 rebounds, nine assists and two blocks.
NBA Injury News – Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets (February 4, 2026)
The Celtics have listed Brown as Doubtful for Wednesday's (Feb. 4) game agaisnt the Rockets.
The Celtics have listed Vucevic as Questionable for Wednesday's (Feb. 4) game agaisnt the Rockets.
The Celtics have listed Hauser as OUT for Wednesday's (Feb. 4) game agaisnt the Rockets.
The Celtics have not ruled Tatum out for the 2025-26 season, ESPN's Shams Charania reported on the Pat McAfee Show on Thursday (Oct. 9).
The Celtics have listed Boucher as OUT for Wednesday's (Feb. 4) game agaisnt the Rockets.
Durant did not play in Monday's (Feb. 2) game against Indiana.
The Rockets listed Finney-Smith as Out for Wednesday's (Feb. 4) game against Boston.
The Rockets said on Wednesday (Jan. 28) that Adams underwent season-ending ankle surgery.
The Rockets said on Monday (Sept. 22) that VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
