NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans (February 6, 2026)

The New Orleans Pelicans (13-40) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (32-20) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 11.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 8.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -340 and Pelicans at +270. The total points line is set at 236.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-114 Minnesota.

• The Timberwolves (-108) have a 23-29-0 ATS record this season, while the Pelicans (-112) hold a record of 26-25-2.
• The Timberwolves have a 26-26-0 O/U record this season (meaning 26 games have gone over the total points line and 26 have gone under). The Pelicans have a 27-26-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Timberwolves are averaging 119.6 points per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Pelicans are averaging only 114.5 (21st).
• Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 114.8 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Pelicans are giving up an average of 121.0 points (28th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Timberwolves currently rank 11th for pace this season, recording 100.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pelicans sit 13th on that scale with 100.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.7% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts come from three point range (12th in the league), leaving 57.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Pelicans' opponents are taking 45.4% of their attempts from three (29th) and 54.6% from two.
• Comparatively, New Orleans takes only 35.4% of shots from three (26th), leaving 64.6% from two, while Minnesota's opponents are attempting a similarly low 38.9% from three (4th) and 61.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves are shooting 37.7% from deep in 2025/26 (4th in the NBA), compared to the Pelicans who are making an underwhelming 34.2% of their attempts (27th).
• On the opposite end, Minnesota is holding opponents to 35.5% of their three-point attempts (11th), while New Orleans' opponents are hitting 35.9% of their shots (16th).

Ball Protection

• The Timberwolves are committing 14.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking T13th in the league, while the Pelicans are forcing 14.9 turnovers (12th).
• Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 14.9 turnovers (13th), while New Orleans is committing 14.1 (9th).

Crashing the Boards

• Minnesota is pulling down 44.9 rebounds per game this season (12th in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (16th). Conversely, New Orleans' opponents are averaging 45.8 rebounds (25th), 12.2 of which have come on the offensive end (26th).
• Meanwhile, the Pelicans are averaging 43.7 rebounds (17th) and 12.5 offensive rebounds (7th), while the Timberwolves are allowing 43.2 and 11.2, ranking 10th and 11th.

First Quarter Winner

Minnesota is -185 to win the first quarter, while New Orleans is +154. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Minnesota	26-24-2	11-13-1	15-11-1	19-19-2	7-5-0	7-3-0
New Orleans	21-30-2	11-16-0	10-14-2	4-2-0	17-28-2	4-5-1

First Half Winner

Minnesota is -258 to win the first half and New Orleans is +210. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Minnesota	24-26-2	12-12-1	12-14-1	17-21-2	7-5-0	5-5-0
New Orleans	20-32-1	11-15-1	9-17-0	4-2-0	16-30-1	3-7-0

HT/FT

Minnesota is -200 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New Orleans is +360.

• The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 28.8% of games this season, while the Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 15.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Timberwolves have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Pelicans have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 30 of Minnesota's 52 games this season. Meanwhile, 29 of New Orleans' 53 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 125-116 victory over New Orleans at Smoothie King Center when these teams last met on December 4. Despite being on the losing side, Trey Murphy III was prominent on that day, recording 21 points, seven rebounds, eight assists and two steals. The Timberwolves have now won three straight against the Pelicans.