NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers (February 6, 2026)

The Indiana Pacers (13-38) face the Milwaukee Bucks (20-29) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Bucks opened as 1.5-point favorites, but the Pacers have moved into favoritism at -122, with the spread currently set at 1.5. The Bucks are +102. The total points line is set at 222.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-110 Indiana.

• The Bucks (-112) have a 21-28-0 ATS record this season, while the Pacers (-108) hold a record of 26-25-0.
• The Bucks have a 20-29-0 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total points line and 29 have gone under). The Pacers have a 21-30-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Bucks are averaging 112.1 points per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Pacers are averaging 110.9 (28th).
• Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 116.1 points per game this season (17th in the league), while the Pacers are giving up an average of 118.7 points (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 98.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pacers sit 10th on that scale with 100.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 43.7% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (14th in the league), leaving 56.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Pacers' opponents are taking 37.1% of their attempts from three (2nd) and 62.9% from two.
• Comparatively, Indiana takes 40.7% of shots from three (18th), leaving 59.3% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting 43.8% from three (24th) and 56.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 39.4% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Pacers who are making an underwhelming 34.6% of their attempts (24th).
• On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 37.0% of their three-point attempts (25th), while Indiana's opponents are doing it tougher, hitting 34.6% of their shots (3rd).

Ball Protection

• The Bucks are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 16th in the league, while the Pacers are forcing 14.0 turnovers (18th).
• Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing 13.3 turnovers (26th), while Indiana is committing 14.3 (11th).

Crashing the Boards

• Milwaukee is pulling down 40.9 rebounds per game this season (28th in the league), including 8.6 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Indiana's opponents are averaging 46.9 rebounds (27th), 11.1 of which have come on the offensive end (8th).
• Meanwhile, the Pacers are averaging 42.8 rebounds (22nd) and 10.6 offensive rebounds (22nd), while the Bucks are allowing 45.0 and 11.2, ranking T20th and 10th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	21-25-3	9-13-1	12-12-2	9-11-1	12-14-2	2-6-2
Indiana	19-31-1	12-16-0	7-15-1	3-4-0	16-27-1	4-6-0

First Half Winner

Milwaukee is +100 to win the first half and Indiana is -120. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	17-32-0	8-15-0	9-17-0	8-13-0	9-19-0	2-8-0
Indiana	19-31-1	10-17-1	9-14-0	4-3-0	15-28-1	5-4-1

HT/FT

Milwaukee is +145 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Indiana is +120.

• The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 22.4% of games this season, while the Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 19.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1300 to go to overtime.

• The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Pacers have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of Milwaukee's 49 games this season. Meanwhile, 26 of Indiana's 51 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Milwaukee recorded a 111-94 victory over Indiana at Gainbridge Fieldhouse when these teams last met on December 23. Kevin Porter Jr. was prominent on that day, recording 24 points, six rebounds, five assists and three steals.