NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks (February 20, 2026)
The Dallas Mavericks (19-35) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (34-22) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 11.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 14.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -750 and Mavericks at +525. The total points line is set at 239.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 127-112 Minnesota.
- The Timberwolves (-108) have a 25-31-0 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-112) hold a record of 23-30-1.
- The Timberwolves have a 28-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Mavericks have a 24-30-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Timberwolves are averaging 119.7 points per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging only 113.9 (22nd).
- Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 114.8 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 117.4 points (21st).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Timberwolves currently rank 10th for pace this season, recording 100.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 4th on that scale with 101.7 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 42.7% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts come from three point range (12th in the league), leaving 57.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 38.1% of their attempts from three (9th) and 61.9% from two.
- Comparatively, Dallas takes only 35.5% of shots from three (28th), leaving 64.5% from two, while Minnesota's opponents are attempting a similarly low 39.2% from three (4th) and 60.8% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves are shooting 37.5% from deep in 2025/26 (4th in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making an underwhelming 34.2% of their attempts (29th).
- On the opposite end, Minnesota is holding opponents to 35.8% of their three-point attempts (14th), while Dallas' opponents are hitting 33.8% of their shots (1st).
Ball Protection
- The Timberwolves are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.5 turnovers (25th).
- Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 15.2 turnovers (T11th), while Dallas is committing 14.7 (18th).
Crashing the Boards
- Minnesota is pulling down 44.8 rebounds per game this season (10th in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (T15th). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging a whopping 47.1 rebounds (28th), 12.4 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
- Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 44.7 rebounds (12th) and 10.0 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Timberwolves are allowing 43.2 and 11.3, ranking 12th and 11th.
First Quarter Winner
Minnesota is -265 to win the first quarter, while Dallas is +215. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 28-26-2 | 13-15-1 | 15-11-1 | 21-21-2 | 7-5-0 | 6-4-0 |
| Dallas | 17-35-2 | 12-17-1 | 5-18-1 | 8-9-0 | 9-26-2 | 0-10-0 |
First Half Winner
Minnesota is -440 to win the first half and Dallas is +340. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 27-27-2 | 15-13-1 | 12-14-1 | 20-22-2 | 7-5-0 | 7-3-0 |
| Dallas | 18-35-1 | 11-18-1 | 7-17-0 | 8-9-0 | 10-26-1 | 1-9-0 |
HT/FT
Minnesota is -500 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +850.
- The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 30.4% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 22.2% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Friday's matchup is +2800 to go to overtime.
- The Timberwolves have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in four.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Minnesota's 56 games this season. Meanwhile, 29 of Dallas' 54 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Minnesota recorded a 118-105 victory over Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on January 28. Naz Reid was prominent on that day, recording 23 points, eight rebounds, three assists and three steals. The Timberwolves have now won four straight against the Mavericks.
NBA Injury News – Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves (February 20, 2026)
The Mavericks listed Flagg as Out for Friday's (Feb. 20) game against the Timberwolves.
The Mavericks listed Christie as Doubtful for Friday's (Feb. 20) game against the Timberwolves.
The Mavericks listed Gafford as Questionable for Friday's (Feb. 20) game against the Timberwolves.
The Mavericks listed Martin as Questionable for Friday's (Feb. 20) game against the Timberwolves.
The Mavericks said on Wednesday (Feb. 18) that Irving is OUT for the season, per ESPN's Shams Charania.
The Mavericks announced on Sunday (Dec. 21) that Lively II has successfully underwent foot surgery.
The Timberwolves announced on Monday (Feb. 9) that Shannon will return to action following the All-Star break.
