NBA Prop Bets: Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets (February 20, 2026)
The Denver Nuggets (35-21) face the Portland Trail Blazers (27-29) at Moda Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Nuggets opened as 3.5-point favorites, but the Trail Blazers have moved into favoritism at -118, with the spread currently set at 1.5. The Nuggets are -102. The total points line is set at 239.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-119 Portland.
- The Trail Blazers (-105) have a 30-25-1 ATS record this season, while the Nuggets (-115) hold a record of 31-25-0.
- The Trail Blazers have a 30-25-1 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line, 25 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Nuggets have a 34-21-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Trail Blazers are averaging 116.3 points per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Nuggets are averaging +3.9 more at 120.3 points (1st).
- Defensively, the Trail Blazers are giving up 118.3 points per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Nuggets are giving up an average of 116.3 points (19th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Trail Blazers currently rank 7th for pace this season, recording 101.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Nuggets sit 26th on that scale with 97.5 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 46.7% of the Trail Blazers' field goal attempts come from three point range (2nd in the league), leaving 53.3% from two. Notably, the Nuggets' opponents are taking 41.8% of their attempts from three (21st) and 58.2% from two.
- Comparatively, Denver takes 40.2% of shots from three (21st), leaving 59.8% from two, while Portland's opponents are attempting 40.1% from three (11th) and 59.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Trail Blazers are shooting an underwhelming 34.2% from deep in 2025/26 (28th in the NBA), compared to the Nuggets who are making 39.4% of their attempts (1st).
- On the opposite end, Portland is holding opponents to 36.0% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Denver's opponents are hitting 35.0% of their shots (8th).
Ball Protection
- The Trail Blazers are committing 17.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 30th in the league, while the Nuggets are forcing 11.9 turnovers (30th).
- Flipping that script, Portland is forcing 15.2 turnovers (T11th), while Denver is committing 12.8 (3rd).
Crashing the Boards
- Portland is pulling down 46.0 rebounds per game this season (5th in the league), including 14.3 offensive boards (2nd). Conversely, Denver's opponents are averaging 42.7 rebounds (8th), 11.7 of which have come on the offensive end (19th).
- Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging 42.7 rebounds (23rd) and 9.5 offensive rebounds (27th), while the Trail Blazers are allowing 43.1 and 12.1, ranking 11th and 26th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Trail Blazers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Portland holds an 8-4 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as an 8-4-0 ATS record and 4-8-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Denver has a 5-5 W-L record, 4-6-0 ATS record and 8-2-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
First Quarter Winner
Portland is -108 to win the first quarter, while Denver is -112. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | 26-27-3 | 15-12-2 | 11-15-1 | 13-8-1 | 13-19-2 | 3-7-0 |
| Denver | 35-19-2 | 18-8-0 | 17-11-2 | 25-11-1 | 10-8-1 | 6-4-0 |
First Half Winner
Portland is -112 to win the first half and Denver is -108. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | 23-32-1 | 13-15-1 | 10-17-0 | 13-8-1 | 10-24-0 | 2-7-1 |
| Denver | 33-20-3 | 19-7-0 | 14-13-3 | 25-11-1 | 8-9-2 | 5-5-0 |
HT/FT
Portland is +125 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Denver is +140.
- The Trail Blazers have completed the HT/FT double in 28.6% of games this season, while the Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 42.9% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Friday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.
- The Trail Blazers have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Nuggets have appeared in five.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 34 of Portland's 56 games this season. Meanwhile, 35 of Denver's 56 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Portland recorded a 109-107 victory over Denver at Moda Center when these teams last met on October 31. Despite being on the losing side, Nikola Jokic was prominent on that day, recording 21 points, 14 rebounds, nine assists and two blocks. The Trail Blazers have now won three straight at Moda Center against the Nuggets.
NBA Injury News – Denver Nuggets @ Portland Trail Blazers (February 20, 2026)
Watson is expected to miss at least four weeks with his Grade 2 right hamstring strain, according to Michael Scotto of USA Today.
The Nuggets said on Thursday (Jan. 29) that Gordon will be re-evaluated in 4-to-6 weeks, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
The Nuggets announced on Monday (Dec. 22) that Bates will be re-evaluated in 12 weeks.
The Trail Blazers listed Sharpe as OUT for Friday's (Feb. 20) game against the Nuggets.
The Trail Blazers listed Murray as Questionable for Friday's (Feb. 20) game against the Nuggets.
The Trail Blazers listed Thybulle as Questionable for Friday's (Feb. 20) game against the Nuggets.
The Trail Blazers said on Thursday (Sept. 25) that Lillard won't be back on the court for the 2025-26 season due to his achilles injury.
