NBA Prop Bets: Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat (February 26, 2026)
The Miami Heat (31-28) face the Philadelphia 76ers (32-26) at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The 76ers are favored to win at -155, currently marked as 2.5-point favorites, while the Heat are at +130. The total points line is set at 238.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-118 Philadelphia.
- The 76ers (-115) have a 32-25-1 ATS record this season, while the Heat (-105) hold a record of 33-25-1.
- The 76ers have a 30-27-1 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line, 27 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Heat have a 30-28-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The 76ers are averaging 116.6 points per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Heat are averaging 120.0 (2nd).
- Defensively, the 76ers are giving up 115.9 points per game this season (18th in the league), while the Heat are giving up an average of 117.1 points (20th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The 76ers currently rank 19th for pace this season, recording 99.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Heat sit 1st on that scale with 104.0 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 39.7% of the 76ers' field goal attempts come from three point range (20th in the league), leaving 60.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Heat's opponents are taking 42.4% of their attempts from three (28th) and 57.6% from two.
- Comparatively, Miami takes 39.8% of shots from three (15th), leaving 60.2% from two, while Philadelphia's opponents are attempting 41.1% from three (16th) and 58.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the 76ers are shooting 35.6% from deep in 2025/26 (16th in the NBA), compared to the Heat who are making 36.0% of their attempts (13th).
- On the opposite end, Philadelphia is holding opponents to 35.5% of their three-point attempts (11th), while Miami's opponents are hitting 34.9% of their shots (8th).
Ball Protection
- The 76ers are committing 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking T5th in the league, while the Heat are forcing 15.6 turnovers (9th).
- Flipping that script, Philadelphia is forcing 15.7 turnovers (8th), while Miami is committing 14.2 (10th).
Crashing the Boards
- Philadelphia is pulling down 43.3 rebounds per game this season (19th in the league), including 12.0 offensive boards (11th). Conversely, Miami's opponents are averaging 47.2 rebounds (29th), 11.8 of which have come on the offensive end (22nd).
- Meanwhile, the Heat are averaging 47.3 rebounds (2nd) and 12.1 offensive rebounds (10th), while the 76ers are allowing 44.8 and 11.9, ranking 20th and 23rd.
First Quarter Winner
Philadelphia is -130 to win the first quarter, while Miami is +110. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 27-25-6 | 13-12-5 | 14-13-1 | 18-12-2 | 9-13-4 | 6-4-0 |
| Miami | 37-21-1 | 16-12-0 | 21-9-1 | 22-9-0 | 15-12-1 | 7-3-0 |
First Half Winner
Philadelphia is -142 to win the first half and Miami is +120. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 36-20-2 | 19-10-1 | 17-10-1 | 21-9-2 | 15-11-0 | 8-2-0 |
| Miami | 36-21-2 | 19-8-1 | 17-13-1 | 22-9-0 | 14-12-2 | 7-3-0 |
HT/FT
Philadelphia is +105 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Miami is +170.
- The 76ers have completed the HT/FT double in 43.1% of games this season, while the Heat have completed the HT/FT double in 45.8% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Thursday's matchup is +1300 to go to overtime.
- The 76ers have played in seven games that went to overtime this season, while the Heat have appeared in one.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 29 of Philadelphia's 58 games this season. Meanwhile, 38 of Miami's 59 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Miami recorded a 127-117 victory over Philadelphia at Xfinity Mobile Arena when these teams last met on November 23. Despite being on the losing side, Andre Drummond cleaned the glass on that day, finishing with 24 rebounds, as well as 14 points. The Heat have now won five straight against the 76ers.
NBA Injury News – Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers (February 26, 2026)
The Heat listed Powell as Questionable for Thursday's (Feb. 26) game against the 76ers.
The Heat listed Mitchell as Questionable for Thursday's (Feb. 26) game against the 76ers.
The Heat listed Jovic as Out for Thursday's (Feb. 26) game against the 76ers.
The 76ers listed Embiid as Probable for Thursday's (Feb. 26) game against the Heat.
The 76ers listed Broome as Out for Thursday's (Feb. 26) game against the Heat.
