NBA Prop Bets: Orlando Magic vs Houston Rockets (February 26, 2026)

The Houston Rockets (36-21) face the Orlando Magic (31-26) at Kia Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.5, leaving the Rockets at -155 and Magic at +130. The total points line is set at 215.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 110-106 Houston.

• The Magic (-112) have a 25-32-0 ATS record this season, while the Rockets (-108) hold a record of 26-31-0.
• The Magic have a 29-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 29 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Rockets have a 24-33-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Magic are averaging 115.1 points per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Rockets are averaging 114.7 (20th).
• Defensively, the Magic are giving up 114.6 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Rockets are giving up an average of 109.1 points (3rd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Magic currently rank 16th for pace this season, recording 99.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Rockets sit 29th on that scale with 95.9 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 38.1% of the Magic's field goal attempts come from three point range (23rd in the league), leaving 61.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Rockets' opponents are taking 39.9% of their attempts from three (5th) and 60.1% from two.
• Comparatively, Houston takes only 34.5% of shots from three (29th), leaving 65.5% from two, while Orlando's opponents are attempting a similarly low 37.8% from three (2nd) and 62.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Magic are shooting an underwhelming 34.4% from deep in 2025/26 (25th in the NBA), compared to the Rockets who are making 37.2% of their attempts (6th).
• On the opposite end, Orlando is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (13th), while Houston's opponents are hitting 34.3% of their shots (4th).

Ball Protection

• The Magic are committing just 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 7th in the league. As such, the Rockets aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 13.5 turnovers per contest (25th).
• Flipping that script, Orlando is forcing 15.1 turnovers (12th), while Houston is committing 15.6 (26th).

Crashing the Boards

• Orlando is pulling down 43.5 rebounds per game this season (17th in the league), including 11.1 offensive boards (20th). Conversely, Houston's opponents are averaging 39.7 rebounds (2nd), 11.5 of which have come on the offensive end (16th).
• Meanwhile, the Rockets are averaging 48.4 rebounds (1st) and 15.4 offensive rebounds (1st), while the Magic are allowing 43.8 and 10.6, ranking 15th and 4th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Magic are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Orlando holds a 6-2 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-3-0 ATS record and 3-5-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Houston has a 6-5 W-L record, 5-6-0 ATS record and 5-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Orlando is +105 to win the first quarter, while Houston is -125. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Orlando	30-25-2	16-11-1	14-14-1	19-18-2	11-7-0	6-4-0
Houston	35-19-3	15-11-1	20-8-2	33-16-2	2-3-1	4-5-1

First Half Winner

Orlando is +120 to win the first half and Houston is -142. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Orlando	25-29-3	9-17-2	16-12-1	16-20-3	9-9-0	5-5-0
Houston	31-24-2	14-13-0	17-11-2	29-21-1	2-3-1	6-4-0

HT/FT

Orlando is +185 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Houston is +100.

• The Magic have completed the HT/FT double in 31.6% of games this season, while the Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 40.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +1300 to go to overtime.

• The Magic have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Rockets have appeared in six.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 26 of Orlando's 57 games this season. Meanwhile, 18 of Houston's 57 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Houston recorded a 117-113 overtime victory over Orlando at Toyota Center when these teams last met on November 16. Alperen Sengun came up big on that day, scoring 30 points and adding 12 rebounds. The Rockets have now won four straight against the Magic.