NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks (February 27, 2026)

The New York Knicks (38-22) face the Milwaukee Bucks (26-31) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Knicks are favored to win at -310, currently marked as 8.5-point favorites, while the Bucks are at +250. The total points line is set at 217.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 113-104 New York.

• The Bucks (-105) have a 27-30-0 ATS record this season, while the Knicks (-115) hold a record of 31-28-1.
• The Bucks have a 24-33-0 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total points line and 33 have gone under). The Knicks have a 29-30-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Bucks are averaging 112.4 points per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Knicks are averaging +4.8 more at 117.1 points (9th).
• Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 115.4 points per game this season (16th in the league), while the Knicks are giving up an average of 111.7 points (6th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 97.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Knicks sit 24th on that scale with 97.7 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 43.6% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (13th in the league), leaving 56.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Knicks' opponents are taking 44.3% of their attempts from three (22nd) and 55.7% from two.
• Comparatively, New York takes 43.7% of shots from three (9th), leaving 56.3% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting 44.4% from three (26th) and 55.6% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 39.2% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Knicks who are making 37.4% of their attempts (5th).
• On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 36.4% of their three-point attempts (20th), while New York's opponents are hitting 35.8% of their shots (15th).

Ball Protection

• The Bucks are committing 14.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Knicks are forcing 14.2 turnovers (17th).
• Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing only 13.1 turnovers (26th), while New York is committing just 13.6 (4th).

Crashing the Boards

• Milwaukee is pulling down just 41.2 rebounds per game this season (27th in the league), including 8.8 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, New York's opponents are averaging a paltry 41.9 rebounds (6th), 10.3 of which have come on the offensive end (3rd).
• Meanwhile, the Knicks are averaging 45.9 rebounds (7th) and 12.9 offensive rebounds (5th), while the Bucks are allowing 44.6 and 11.2, ranking 17th and 10th.

First Quarter Winner

Milwaukee is +154 to win the first quarter, while New York is -185. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Milwaukee	24-29-4	11-14-2	13-15-2	9-11-1	15-18-3	4-5-1
New York	24-33-3	15-15-1	9-18-2	20-27-3	4-6-0	5-5-0

First Half Winner

Milwaukee is +210 to win the first half and New York is -258. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	23-34-0	10-17-0	13-17-0	8-13-0	15-21-0	7-3-0
New York	32-28-0	19-12-0	13-16-0	28-22-0	4-6-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

Milwaukee is +360 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New York is -210.

• The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 28.1% of games this season, while the Knicks have completed the HT/FT double in 43.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1800 to go to overtime.

• The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Knicks have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 26 of Milwaukee's 57 games this season. Meanwhile, 26 of New York's 59 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

New York recorded a 118-109 victory over Milwaukee at Madison Square Garden when these teams last met on November 28. Despite being on the losing side, Giannis Antetokounmpo came up big on that day, scoring 30 points and adding 15 rebounds. The Knicks have now won four straight at Madison Square Garden against the Bucks.