NBA Prop Bets: Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies (February 27, 2026)

The Memphis Grizzlies (21-36) face the Dallas Mavericks (21-37) at American Airlines Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Mavericks opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Mavericks at -180 and Grizzlies at +150. The total points line is set at 238.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-117 Dallas.

• The Mavericks (-105) have a 26-31-1 ATS record this season, while the Grizzlies (-115) hold a record of 25-31-1.
• The Mavericks have a 27-31-0 O/U record this season (meaning 27 games have gone over the total points line and 31 have gone under). The Grizzlies have a 28-28-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Mavericks are averaging 114.5 points per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Grizzlies are averaging 115.4 (17th).
• Defensively, the Mavericks are giving up 117.9 points per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Grizzlies are giving up an average of 118.1 points (23rd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Mavericks currently rank 4th for pace this season, recording 101.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Grizzlies sit 6th on that scale with 101.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 35.0% of the Mavericks' field goal attempts come from three point range (28th in the league), leaving 65.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies' opponents are taking 43.2% of their attempts from three (27th) and 56.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Memphis takes 42.3% of shots from three (11th), leaving 57.7% from two, while Dallas' opponents are attempting 38.1% from three (10th) and 61.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Mavericks are shooting 34.4% from deep in 2025/26 (27th in the NBA), compared to the Grizzlies who are making 35.2% of their attempts (19th).
• On the opposite end, Dallas is holding opponents to 34.2% of their three-point attempts (1st), while Memphis' opponents are hitting 36.2% of their shots (18th).

Ball Protection

• The Mavericks are committing 14.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 17th in the league, while the Grizzlies are forcing 15.1 turnovers (11th).
• Flipping that script, Dallas is forcing 13.4 turnovers (25th), while Memphis is committing 15.2 (22nd).

Crashing the Boards

• Dallas is pulling down 44.6 rebounds per game this season (11th in the league), including 10.1 offensive boards (25th). Conversely, Memphis' opponents are averaging 45.3 rebounds (24th), 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end (24th).
• Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are averaging 44.5 rebounds (13th) and 11.6 offensive rebounds (13th), while the Mavericks are allowing 46.7 and 12.3, ranking 27th and 28th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Grizzlies are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Memphis holds a 2-6 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 3-5-0 ATS record and 4-4-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Dallas has a 6-10 W-L record, 9-7-0 ATS record and 10-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Dallas is -125 to win the first quarter, while Memphis is +105. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Dallas	19-37-2	12-18-1	7-19-1	10-10-0	9-27-2	2-8-0
Memphis	24-31-2	12-16-1	12-15-1	10-8-1	14-23-1	2-7-1

First Half Winner

Dallas is -148 to win the first half and Memphis is +124. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Dallas	20-37-1	11-19-1	9-18-0	10-10-0	10-27-1	2-8-0
Memphis	24-31-2	14-14-1	10-17-1	11-8-0	13-23-2	3-6-1

HT/FT

Dallas is -115 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Memphis is +205.

• The Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 24.1% of games this season, while the Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 21.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Mavericks have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Grizzlies have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 33 of Dallas' 58 games this season. Meanwhile, 32 of Memphis' 57 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Memphis recorded a 102-96 victory over Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on November 22. Zach Edey cleaned the glass on that day, finishing with 15 rebounds, as well as 12 points and four blocks. The Grizzlies have now won six straight against the Mavericks.