NBA Prop Bets: Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies (March 1, 2026)

The Memphis Grizzlies (22-36) face the Indiana Pacers (15-45) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Grizzlies are favored to win at -112, currently marked as 1.5-point favorites, while the Pacers are at -108. The total points line is set at 236.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 119-118 Indiana.

• The Pacers (+102) have a 28-32-0 ATS record this season, while the Grizzlies (-122) hold a record of 26-31-1.
• The Pacers have a 27-33-0 O/U record this season (meaning 27 games have gone over the total points line and 33 have gone under). The Grizzlies have a 28-29-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Pacers are averaging 111.5 points per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Grizzlies are averaging +4.1 more at 115.6 points (16th).
• Defensively, the Pacers are giving up a whopping 119.5 points per game this season (25th in the league), while the Grizzlies are giving up an average of 117.9 points (22nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Pacers currently rank 7th for pace this season, recording 101.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Grizzlies sit 6th on that scale with 101.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 41.6% of the Pacers' field goal attempts come from three point range (17th in the league), leaving 58.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies' opponents are taking 43.1% of their attempts from three (27th) and 56.9% from two.
• Comparatively, Memphis takes 42.1% of shots from three (11th), leaving 57.9% from two, while Indiana's opponents are attempting 37.3% from three (3rd) and 62.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Pacers are shooting 34.8% from deep in 2025/26 (21st in the NBA), compared to the Grizzlies who are making 35.2% of their attempts (20th).
• On the opposite end, Indiana is holding opponents to 34.5% of their three-point attempts (4th), while Memphis' opponents are hitting 36.1% of their shots (18th).

Ball Protection

• The Pacers are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 15th in the league, while the Grizzlies are forcing 15.2 turnovers (11th).
• Flipping that script, Indiana is forcing 13.9 turnovers (19th), while Memphis is committing 15.1 (22nd).

Crashing the Boards

• Indiana is pulling down 42.5 rebounds per game this season (25th in the league), including 10.3 offensive boards (23rd). Conversely, Memphis' opponents are averaging 45.3 rebounds (23rd), 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end (24th).
• Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are averaging 44.5 rebounds (13th) and 11.5 offensive rebounds (13th), while the Pacers are allowing 47.0 and 11.1, ranking 28th and 8th.

First Quarter Winner

Indiana is -115 to win the first quarter, while Memphis is -105. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Indiana	23-36-1	14-17-0	9-19-1	4-5-0	19-31-1	5-5-0
Memphis	25-31-2	12-16-1	13-15-1	10-8-1	15-23-1	2-7-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Indiana	21-38-1	10-20-1	11-18-0	4-5-0	17-33-1	2-7-1
Memphis	25-31-2	14-14-1	11-17-1	11-8-0	14-23-2	3-6-1

HT/FT

Indiana is +140 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Memphis is +125.

• The Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 16.7% of games this season, while the Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 22.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Pacers have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Grizzlies have also appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 31 of Indiana's 60 games this season. Meanwhile, 32 of Memphis' 58 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Memphis recorded a 128-103 blowout victory against Indiana at FedExForum when these teams last met on October 25. Cedric Coward was lights out from deep on that day, finishing with 27 points and six triples. The Grizzlies have now won five straight at FedExForum against the Pacers.