NBA Prop Bets: New York Knicks vs Oklahoma City Thunder (March 4, 2026)
The Oklahoma City Thunder (48-15) face the New York Knicks (41-22) at Madison Square Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Thunder opened as 3.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Thunder at -180 and Knicks at +150. The total points line is set at 221.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 113-108 Oklahoma City.
- The Knicks (-110) have a 34-28-1 ATS record this season, while the Thunder (-110) hold a record of 31-32-0.
- The Knicks have a 30-32-1 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line, 32 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Thunder have a 34-29-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Knicks are averaging 117.1 points per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder are averaging 119.1 (4th).
- Defensively, the Knicks are giving up only 110.9 points per game this season (5th in the league), while the Thunder are giving up an average of 107.9 points (2nd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Knicks currently rank 24th for pace this season, recording 97.6 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder sit 16th on that scale with 99.4 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 43.7% of the Knicks' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 56.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Thunder's opponents are taking 44.0% of their attempts from three (25th) and 56.0% from two.
- Comparatively, Oklahoma City takes 42.1% of shots from three (14th), leaving 57.9% from two, while New York's opponents are attempting 44.3% from three (23rd) and 55.7% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Knicks are shooting 37.5% from deep in 2025/26 (4th in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who are making 36.0% of their attempts (13th).
- On the opposite end, New York is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Oklahoma City's opponents are hitting 36.7% of their shots (24th).
Ball Protection
- The Knicks are committing 13.6 turnovers per game this season, ranking 4th in the league, while the Thunder are forcing 17.0 turnovers (2nd).
- Flipping that script, New York is forcing 14.4 turnovers (16th), while Oklahoma City is committing 12.6 (2nd).
Crashing the Boards
- New York is pulling down 46.0 rebounds per game this season (7th in the league), including 12.8 offensive boards (6th). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging a whopping 45.5 rebounds (24th), 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end (25th).
- Meanwhile, the Thunder are averaging 44.0 rebounds (14th) and 9.5 offensive rebounds (29th), while the Knicks are allowing 41.5 and 10.1, ranking 5th and 2nd.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Knicks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- New York holds a 6-4 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-5-0 ATS record and 5-5-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Oklahoma City has an 8-2 W-L record, 4-6-0 ATS record and 5-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
- Notably, the Thunder are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Notably, the Knicks and Thunder are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | 27-33-3 | 16-15-1 | 11-18-2 | 22-27-3 | 5-6-0 | 7-3-0 |
| Oklahoma City | 38-20-5 | 18-10-4 | 20-10-1 | 36-18-5 | 2-2-0 | 6-4-0 |
First Half Winner
Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | 35-28-0 | 20-12-0 | 15-16-0 | 30-22-0 | 5-6-0 | 6-4-0 |
| Oklahoma City | 45-18-0 | 22-10-0 | 23-8-0 | 43-16-0 | 2-2-0 | 7-3-0 |
HT/FT
- The Knicks have completed the HT/FT double in 46.0% of games this season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 60.3% of games.
To Go To Overtime
- The Knicks have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Thunder have appeared in four.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 26 of New York's 62 games this season. Meanwhile, 21 of Oklahoma City's 63 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Oklahoma City recorded a 126-101 blowout victory against New York at Madison Square Garden when these teams last met on January 10, 2025. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander erupted for 39 points on that day. The Thunder have now won four straight against the Knicks.
NBA Injury News – Oklahoma City Thunder @ New York Knicks (March 4, 2026)
Gilgeous-Alexander did not play on Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Chicago.
Williams is scheduled to be re-evaluated in approximately two weeks, according to Brandon according to Rahbar of DailyThunder.com.
Hartenstein did not play on Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Chicago.
Mitchell did not play on Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Chicago.
Carlson did not play on Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Chicago.
The Thunder announced on Friday (Sept. 5) that Sorber will miss the 2025-2026 season with a torn ACL.
McBride will undergo surgery for a core muscle injury and may be sidelined until the playoffs, according to James L. Edwards III of The Athletic.
