NBA Prop Bets: Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers (March 4, 2026)

The Portland Trail Blazers (29-33) face the Memphis Grizzlies (23-37) at FedExForum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Trail Blazers are favored to win at -270, currently marked as 7.5-point favorites, while the Grizzlies are at +220. The total points line is set at 237.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-115 Portland.

• The Grizzlies (-115) have a 28-31-1 ATS record this season, while the Trail Blazers (-105) hold a record of 33-28-1.
• The Grizzlies have a 28-31-1 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line, 31 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Trail Blazers have a 33-28-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Grizzlies are averaging 115.6 points per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Trail Blazers are averaging 115.2 (17th).
• Defensively, the Grizzlies are giving up 117.7 points per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Trail Blazers are giving up an average of 118.4 points (24th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Grizzlies currently rank 6th for pace this season, recording 101.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Trail Blazers sit 9th on that scale with 101.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.1% of the Grizzlies' field goal attempts come from three point range (11th in the league), leaving 57.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers' opponents are taking 40.3% of their attempts from three (11th) and 59.7% from two.
• Comparatively, Portland takes 46.8% of shots from three (3rd), leaving 53.2% from two, while Memphis' opponents are attempting a similarly high 43.1% from three (26th) and 56.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Grizzlies are shooting 35.4% from deep in 2025/26 (18th in the NBA), compared to the Trail Blazers who are making 33.7% of their attempts (29th).
• On the opposite end, Memphis is holding opponents to 36.1% of their three-point attempts (20th), while Portland's opponents are hitting 36.3% of their shots (21st).

Ball Protection

• The Grizzlies are committing 15.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 21st in the league, while the Trail Blazers are forcing 15.4 turnovers (10th).
• Flipping that script, Memphis is forcing 15.3 turnovers (11th), while Portland is committing 17.2 (30th).

Crashing the Boards

• Memphis is pulling down 44.2 rebounds per game this season (13th in the league), including 11.5 offensive boards (13th). Conversely, Portland's opponents are averaging 43.7 rebounds (13th), 12.2 of which have come on the offensive end (26th).
• Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are averaging 45.6 rebounds (8th) and 14.0 offensive rebounds (2nd), while the Grizzlies are allowing 45.2 and 11.9, ranking 22nd and 24th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Trail Blazers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Portland holds an 8-5 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as an 8-5-0 ATS record and 5-8-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Memphis has a 4-4 W-L record, 5-3-0 ATS record and 4-4-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Memphis	26-31-3	12-16-1	14-15-2	10-8-2	16-23-1	2-6-2
Portland	26-32-4	15-14-2	11-18-2	13-9-2	13-23-2	1-8-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Memphis	27-31-2	14-14-1	13-17-1	12-8-0	15-23-2	4-5-1
Portland	25-36-1	13-17-1	12-19-0	15-8-1	10-28-0	2-7-1

HT/FT

• The Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 23.3% of games this season, while the Trail Blazers have completed the HT/FT double in 29.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Grizzlies have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Trail Blazers have also appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 33 of Memphis' 60 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of Portland's 62 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Portland recorded a 122-115 victory over Memphis at Moda Center when these teams last met on February 7. Donovan Clingan was prominent on that day, recording 20 points, 19 rebounds, three assists and two blocks. The Trail Blazers have now won three straight at Moda Center against the Grizzlies.