NBA Prop Bets: Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets (March 4, 2026)

The Charlotte Hornets (31-31) face the Boston Celtics (41-20) at TD Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Celtics opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.5, leaving the Celtics at -258 and Hornets at +210. The total points line is set at 215.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 111-104 Boston.

• The Celtics (-112) have a 36-25-0 ATS record this season, while the Hornets (-108) hold a record of 40-22-0.
• The Celtics have a 22-39-0 O/U record this season (meaning 22 games have gone over the total points line and 39 have gone under). The Hornets have a 24-38-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Celtics are averaging 114.9 points per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Hornets are averaging 116.1 (11th).
• Defensively, the Celtics are giving up only 107.0 points per game this season (1st in the league), while the Hornets are giving up an average of 112.7 points (10th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Celtics currently rank 30th for pace this season, recording 94.6 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Hornets sit 25th on that scale with 97.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 46.7% of the Celtics' field goal attempts come from three point range (2nd in the league), leaving 53.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Hornets' opponents are taking 40.2% of their attempts from three (7th) and 59.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Charlotte takes 47.5% of shots from three (4th), leaving 52.5% from two, while Boston's opponents are attempting a similarly high 44.6% from three (24th) and 55.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Celtics are shooting 36.5% from deep in 2025/26 (9th in the NBA), compared to the Hornets who are making 37.8% of their attempts (3rd).
• On the opposite end, Boston is holding opponents to 36.0% of their three-point attempts (17th), while Charlotte's opponents are hitting 36.0% of their shots (18th).

Ball Protection

• The Celtics are committing just 12.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 1st in the league. As such, the Hornets aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 12.7 turnovers per contest (29th).
• Flipping that script, Boston is forcing 12.8 turnovers (27th), while Charlotte is committing 15.8 (29th).

Crashing the Boards

• Boston is pulling down 46.2 rebounds per game this season (6th in the league), including 12.9 offensive boards (5th). Conversely, Charlotte's opponents are averaging 39.3 rebounds (1st), 10.2 of which have come on the offensive end (3rd).
• Meanwhile, the Hornets are averaging 46.3 rebounds (4th) and 12.8 offensive rebounds (7th), while the Celtics are allowing 41.8 and 11.2, ranking 6th and 12th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Celtics are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Boston holds a 7-4 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 7-4-0 ATS record and 2-9-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Charlotte has a 6-4 W-L record, 7-3-0 ATS record and 2-8-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Boston	37-20-4	18-10-1	19-10-3	27-14-3	10-6-1	5-4-1
Charlotte	29-28-5	15-12-3	14-16-2	12-6-1	17-22-4	6-3-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Boston	41-17-3	19-8-2	22-9-1	32-10-2	9-7-1	8-2-0
Charlotte	33-27-2	16-14-0	17-13-2	13-4-2	20-23-0	6-3-1

HT/FT

• The Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 52.5% of games this season, while the Hornets have completed the HT/FT double in 40.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Celtics have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Hornets have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 21 of Boston's 61 games this season. Meanwhile, 27 of Charlotte's 62 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Boston recorded a 93-86 victory over Charlotte at TD Garden when these teams last met on April 13, 2025. Payton Pritchard was influential on that day, recording 34 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. The Celtics have now won six straight against the Hornets.