NBA Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics (March 12, 2026)
The Boston Celtics (43-22) face the Oklahoma City Thunder (51-15) at Paycom Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Thunder are favored to win at -270, currently marked as 6.5-point favorites, while the Celtics are at +220. The total points line is set at 216.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-105 Oklahoma City.
- The Thunder (-110) have a 31-35-0 ATS record this season, while the Celtics (-110) hold a record of 38-27-0.
- The Thunder have a 35-31-0 O/U record this season (meaning 35 games have gone over the total points line and 31 have gone under). The Celtics have a 23-42-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Thunder are averaging 118.8 points per game this season (T3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Celtics are averaging only 114.5 (20th).
- Defensively, the Thunder are giving up only 107.9 points per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Celtics are giving up an average of 107.2 points (1st).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Thunder currently rank 17th for pace this season, recording 99.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Celtics sit 30th on that scale with 94.7 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 42.5% of the Thunder's field goal attempts come from three point range (13th in the league), leaving 57.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Celtics' opponents are taking 45.0% of their attempts from three (26th) and 55.0% from two.
- Comparatively, Boston takes 46.8% of shots from three (2nd), leaving 53.2% from two, while Oklahoma City's opponents are attempting a similarly high 44.0% from three (25th) and 56.0% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Thunder are shooting 36.1% from deep in 2025/26 (13th in the NBA), compared to the Celtics who are making 36.4% of their attempts (9th).
- On the opposite end, Oklahoma City is holding opponents to 36.5% of their three-point attempts (22nd), while Boston's opponents are hitting 36.1% of their shots (18th).
Ball Protection
- The Thunder are committing just 12.6 turnovers per game this season, ranking 2nd in the league. As such, the Celtics aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 12.6 turnovers per contest (T28th).
- Flipping that script, Oklahoma City is forcing 16.8 turnovers (2nd), while Boston is committing 12.1 (1st).
Crashing the Boards
- Oklahoma City is pulling down 43.8 rebounds per game this season (15th in the league), including 9.3 offensive boards (29th). Conversely, Boston's opponents are averaging 41.9 rebounds (7th), 11.1 of which have come on the offensive end (10th).
- Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging an impressive 46.3 rebounds (4th) and 12.7 offensive rebounds (7th), while the Thunder are allowing 45.8 and 12.1, ranking 25th and 25th.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | 40-21-5 | 19-11-4 | 21-10-1 | 38-19-5 | 2-2-0 | 6-4-0 |
| Boston | 39-22-4 | 18-12-1 | 21-10-3 | 27-16-3 | 12-6-1 | 5-4-1 |
First Half Winner
Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | 48-18-0 | 24-10-0 | 24-8-0 | 46-16-0 | 2-2-0 | 8-2-0 |
| Boston | 43-18-4 | 20-9-2 | 23-9-2 | 33-11-2 | 10-7-2 | 8-1-1 |
HT/FT
- The Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 62.1% of games this season, while the Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 52.3% of games.
To Go To Overtime
- The Thunder have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Celtics have appeared in one.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 22 of Oklahoma City's 66 games this season. Meanwhile, 22 of Boston's 65 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Oklahoma City recorded a 118-112 victory over Boston at TD Garden when these teams last met on March 12, 2025. Despite being on the losing side, Jayson Tatum was influential on that day, recording 33 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. That result snapped the Celtics' three-game winning streak against the Thunder at TD Garden.
NBA Injury News – Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder (March 12, 2026)
The Celtics listed Tatum as Questionable for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Thunder.
The Celtics listed White as Questionable for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Thunder.
Vucevic underwent surgery Saturday (Mar. 7) to stabilize a fracture in his right ring finger and will be re-evaluated in 3-to-4 weeks.
The Celtics listed Pritchard as Probable for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Thunder.
Holmgren did not play in Monday's (Mar. 9) game against Denver.
The Thunder listed Williams as Out for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Celtics.
The Thunder listed Hartenstein as Out for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Celtics.
The Thunder listed Carlson as Out for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Celtics.
The Thunder announced on Friday (Sept. 5) that Sorber will miss the 2025-2026 season with a torn ACL.
