NBA Prop Bets: Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks (March 12, 2026)

The Dallas Mavericks (21-44) face the Memphis Grizzlies (23-41) at FedExForum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Mavericks are favored to win at -205, currently marked as 4.5-point favorites, while the Grizzlies are at +170. The total points line is set at 236.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-116 Dallas.

• The Grizzlies (-108) have a 30-33-1 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-112) hold a record of 28-36-1.
• The Grizzlies have a 32-31-1 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line, 31 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Mavericks have a 27-38-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Grizzlies are averaging 115.9 points per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging only 113.0 (24th).
• Defensively, the Grizzlies are giving up 118.3 points per game this season (24th in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 117.8 points (23rd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Grizzlies currently rank 6th for pace this season, recording 101.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 4th on that scale with 101.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.1% of the Grizzlies' field goal attempts come from three point range (11th in the league), leaving 57.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 38.6% of their attempts from three (11th) and 61.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Dallas takes 35.0% of shots from three (28th), leaving 65.0% from two, while Memphis' opponents are attempting 42.7% from three (24th) and 57.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Grizzlies are shooting 35.7% from deep in 2025/26 (17th in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making 34.0% of their attempts (28th).
• On the opposite end, Memphis is holding opponents to 36.2% of their three-point attempts (20th), while Dallas' opponents are hitting 34.1% of their shots (1st).

Ball Protection

• The Grizzlies are committing 15.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 23rd in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.1 turnovers (25th).
• Flipping that script, Memphis is forcing 15.4 turnovers (11th), while Dallas is committing 14.8 (20th).

Crashing the Boards

• Memphis is pulling down 43.8 rebounds per game this season (16th in the league), including 11.6 offensive boards (13th). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging 46.8 rebounds (27th), 12.2 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
• Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 44.7 rebounds (10th) and 10.1 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Grizzlies are allowing 45.2 and 12.1, ranking 21st and 24th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Memphis	27-33-4	13-17-1	14-16-3	10-8-2	17-25-2	3-5-2
Dallas	21-42-2	12-20-1	9-22-1	10-11-0	11-31-2	4-6-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Memphis	29-32-3	15-14-2	14-18-1	12-8-0	17-24-3	5-4-1
Dallas	21-43-1	11-21-1	10-22-0	10-11-0	11-32-1	3-7-0

HT/FT

• The Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 21.9% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 21.5% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Grizzlies have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 37 of Memphis' 64 games this season. Meanwhile, 35 of Dallas' 65 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Memphis recorded a 124-105 victory over Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on February 27. Olivier-Maxence Prosper was prominent on that day, recording 16 points, 10 rebounds and three steals. The Grizzlies have now won seven straight against the Mavericks.