NBA Prop Bets: Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors (March 18, 2026)

The Golden State Warriors (33-35) face the Boston Celtics (45-23) at TD Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Celtics are favored to win at -600, currently marked as 12.5-point favorites, while the Warriors are at +440. The total points line is set at 216.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-102 Boston.

• The Celtics (+100) have a 39-29-0 ATS record this season, while the Warriors (-120) hold a record of 31-37-0.
• The Celtics have a 24-44-0 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total points line and 44 have gone under). The Warriors have a 40-27-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Celtics are averaging 114.3 points per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors are averaging 115.3 (18th).
• Defensively, the Celtics are giving up only 107.1 points per game this season (1st in the league), while the Warriors are giving up an average of 114.4 points (12th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Celtics currently rank 30th for pace this season, recording 94.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors sit 17th on that scale with 99.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 46.9% of the Celtics' field goal attempts come from three point range (3rd in the league), leaving 53.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents are taking 40.4% of their attempts from three (9th) and 59.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State takes 50.4% of shots from three (1st), leaving 49.6% from two, while Boston's opponents are attempting a similarly high 45.1% from three (26th) and 54.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Celtics are shooting 36.2% from deep in 2025/26 (10th in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who are making 35.7% of their attempts (16th).
• On the opposite end, Boston is holding opponents to 35.9% of their three-point attempts (18th), while Golden State's opponents are hitting 35.3% of their shots (10th).

Ball Protection

• The Celtics are committing 12.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking 1st in the league, while the Warriors are forcing 16.0 turnovers (4th).
• Flipping that script, Boston is forcing 12.6 turnovers (28th), while Golden State is committing 15.4 (24th).

Crashing the Boards

• Boston is pulling down 46.2 rebounds per game this season (5th in the league), including 12.7 offensive boards (7th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents are averaging 45.2 rebounds (T20th), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (22nd).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors are averaging 42.9 rebounds (22nd) and 11.5 offensive rebounds (14th), while the Celtics are allowing 41.7 and 11.0, ranking 6th and 8th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Boston	41-23-4	19-13-1	22-10-3	28-17-3	13-6-1	6-4-0
Golden State	29-35-4	15-17-2	14-18-2	20-20-4	9-15-0	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Boston	46-18-4	22-9-2	24-9-2	35-11-2	11-7-2	8-1-1
Golden State	38-30-0	19-15-0	19-15-0	27-17-0	11-13-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

• The Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 52.9% of games this season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 39.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Celtics have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Warriors have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of Boston's 68 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of Golden State's 68 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Boston recorded a 121-110 victory over Golden State at Chase Center when these teams last met on February 19. Jaylen Brown was everywhere on that day, finishing with a 23-point, 15-rebound, 13-assist triple-double.