NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz (March 18, 2026)

The Utah Jazz (20-48) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (42-27) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Timberwolves are favored to win at -675, currently marked as 12.5-point favorites, while the Jazz are at +490. The total points line is set at 233.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 123-110 Minnesota.

• The Timberwolves (-108) have a 29-40-0 ATS record this season, while the Jazz (-112) hold a record of 36-32-0.
• The Timberwolves have a 32-37-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 37 have gone under). The Jazz have a 39-28-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Timberwolves are averaging 118.4 points per game this season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Jazz are averaging 117.3 (9th).
• Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 115.0 points per game this season (15th in the league), while the Jazz are giving up an average of 124.9 points (30th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Timberwolves currently rank 10th for pace this season, recording 100.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Jazz sit 5th on that scale with 101.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.3% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts come from three point range (17th in the league), leaving 57.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Jazz's opponents are taking 45.9% of their attempts from three (30th) and 54.1% from two.
• Comparatively, Utah takes 41.1% of shots from three (18th), leaving 58.9% from two, while Minnesota's opponents are attempting 38.9% from three (4th) and 61.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves are shooting 37.1% from deep in 2025/26 (5th in the NBA), compared to the Jazz who are making 34.8% of their attempts (21st).
• On the opposite end, Minnesota is holding opponents to 36.0% of their three-point attempts (19th), while Utah's opponents are hitting 37.0% of their shots (28th).

Ball Protection

• The Timberwolves are committing 14.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 20th in the league, while the Jazz are forcing 14.3 turnovers (17th).
• Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 14.7 turnovers (14th), while Utah is committing 15.6 (26th).

Crashing the Boards

• Minnesota is pulling down 44.4 rebounds per game this season (11th in the league), including 11.1 offensive boards (19th). Conversely, Utah's opponents are averaging 45.2 rebounds (T20th), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (21st).
• Meanwhile, the Jazz are averaging 43.8 rebounds (15th) and 11.9 offensive rebounds (10th), while the Timberwolves are allowing 42.9 and 11.4, ranking 9th and 15th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Jazz are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Utah holds a 7-6 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 7-6-0 ATS record and 9-4-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Minnesota has a 9-3 W-L record, 6-6-0 ATS record and 4-8-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	35-32-2	16-18-1	19-14-1	28-24-2	7-8-0	5-5-0
Utah	30-36-2	18-14-2	12-22-0	3-4-0	27-32-2	7-3-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	35-31-3	18-16-1	17-15-2	26-25-3	9-6-0	6-3-1
Utah	26-41-1	17-17-0	9-24-1	3-3-1	23-38-0	4-6-0

HT/FT

• The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 34.8% of games this season, while the Jazz have completed the HT/FT double in 17.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Timberwolves have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Jazz have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 37 of Minnesota's 69 games this season. Meanwhile, 47 of Utah's 68 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Utah recorded a shock 127-122 victory over Minnesota at Delta Center when these teams last met on January 20. Jusuf Nurkic was everywhere on that day, finishing with a 16-point, 18-rebound, 10-assist triple-double. That result snapped the Timberwolves' four-game winning streak against the Jazz.