NBA Prop Bets: Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets (March 18, 2026)

The Denver Nuggets (42-27) face the Memphis Grizzlies (23-44) at FedExForum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Nuggets are favored to win at -700, currently marked as 13.5-point favorites, while the Grizzlies are at +500. The total points line is set at 241.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 128-114 Denver.

• The Grizzlies (-110) have a 31-35-1 ATS record this season, while the Nuggets (-110) hold a record of 39-30-0.
• The Grizzlies have a 33-33-1 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total points line, 33 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Nuggets have a 42-26-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Grizzlies are averaging 115.6 points per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Nuggets are averaging +5.2 more at 120.7 points (1st).
• Defensively, the Grizzlies are giving up 118.6 points per game this season (24th in the league), while the Nuggets are giving up an average of 116.4 points (19th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Grizzlies currently rank 6th for pace this season, recording 101.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Nuggets sit 22nd on that scale with 98.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.3% of the Grizzlies' field goal attempts come from three point range (11th in the league), leaving 57.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Nuggets' opponents are taking 42.3% of their attempts from three (22nd) and 57.7% from two.
• Comparatively, Denver takes 40.5% of shots from three (21st), leaving 59.5% from two, while Memphis' opponents are attempting 42.6% from three (24th) and 57.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Grizzlies are shooting 35.6% from deep in 2025/26 (19th in the NBA), compared to the Nuggets who are making 39.2% of their attempts (1st).
• On the opposite end, Memphis is holding opponents to 36.1% of their three-point attempts (20th), while Denver's opponents are hitting 35.0% of their shots (7th).

Ball Protection

• The Grizzlies are committing 15.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking 23rd in the league, while the Nuggets are forcing 12.1 turnovers (30th).
• Flipping that script, Memphis is forcing 15.5 turnovers (10th), while Denver is committing 13.0 (3rd).

Crashing the Boards

• Memphis is pulling down 43.5 rebounds per game this season (18th in the league), including 11.6 offensive boards (13th). Conversely, Denver's opponents are averaging 42.8 rebounds (8th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (12th).
• Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging 43.4 rebounds (19th) and 9.6 offensive rebounds (26th), while the Grizzlies are allowing 45.6 and 12.3, ranking 23rd and 28th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Grizzlies are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Memphis holds a 2-9 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-6-0 ATS record and 7-4-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Denver has a 7-5 W-L record, 6-6-0 ATS record and 8-4-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Memphis	27-36-4	13-18-1	14-18-3	10-8-2	17-28-2	3-5-2
Denver	43-24-2	23-9-0	20-15-2	31-15-1	12-9-1	7-3-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Memphis	29-35-3	15-15-2	14-20-1	12-8-0	17-27-3	5-4-1
Denver	38-28-3	22-10-0	16-18-3	29-17-1	9-11-2	4-6-0

HT/FT

• The Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 20.9% of games this season, while the Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 40.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Grizzlies have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Nuggets have appeared in seven.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 39 of Memphis' 67 games this season. Meanwhile, 42 of Denver's 69 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Denver recorded a 122-116 victory over Memphis at Ball Arena when these teams last met on February 11. Nikola Jokic was everywhere on that day, finishing with a 26-point, 15-rebound, 11-assist triple-double. The Nuggets have now won four straight against the Grizzlies.