NBA Prop Bets: Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder (October 28, 2026)
The Oklahoma City Thunder (4-0) face the Dallas Mavericks (2-2) at American Airlines Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Thunder are favored to win at -230, currently marked as 5.5-point favorites, while the Mavericks are at +190. The total points line is set at 228.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 117-112 Oklahoma City.
- The Mavericks (-102) have a 38-46-2 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Thunder (-118) hold a record of 50-50-1 across the same span.
- The Mavericks have a 38-48-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total points line and 48 have gone under). The Thunder have a 56-45-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mavericks have scored 114.0 points per game since the beginning of last season (23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder have averaged +4.6 more at 118.7 points over the same span (5th).
- Defensively, the Mavericks have allowed 119.5 points per game since the beginning of last season (23rd in the league), while the Thunder have given up an average of 107.5 points over that span (2nd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?
Pace
- The Mavericks rank 4th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 101.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder sit 17th on that scale with 99.3 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 35.8% of the Mavericks' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (27th in the league), leaving 64.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Thunder's opponents are taking 44.0% of their attempts from three (24th) and 56.0% from two.
- Comparatively, Oklahoma City has taken 42.2% of shots from three (15th), leaving 57.8% from two, while Dallas' opponents have attempted 39.0% from three (14th) and 61.0% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Mavericks have shot an underwhelming 34.4% from deep since the beginning of last season (26th in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who are making 36.4% of their attempts (10th).
- On the opposite end, Dallas has held opponents to 35.0% of their three-point attempts (7th), while Oklahoma City's opponents have been doing things easier, hitting 36.7% of their shots (24th).
Ball Protection
- The Mavericks are committing 14.7 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 18th in the league, while the Thunder have forced 16.8 turnovers (1st) across the same period.
- Flipping that script, Dallas has forced only 13.5 turnovers (24th), while Oklahoma City has committed just 12.7 (2nd).
Crashing the Boards
- Dallas is pulling down 44.6 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (10th in the league), including 10.5 offensive boards (23rd). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 45.1 rebounds (20th), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (24th).
- Meanwhile, the Thunder have averaged 44.2 rebounds (13th) and 9.7 offensive rebounds (27th), while the Mavericks are allowing 46.5 and 12.0, ranking 26th and 26th.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 28-56-2 | 15-26-1 | 13-30-1 | 12-12-0 | 16-44-2 |
| Oklahoma City | 62-31-8 | 31-16-6 | 31-15-2 | 60-25-8 | 2-6-0 |
First Half Winner
Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 30-55-1 | 15-26-1 | 15-29-0 | 12-12-0 | 18-43-1 |
| Oklahoma City | 70-31-0 | 34-19-0 | 36-12-0 | 67-26-0 | 3-5-0 |
HT/FT
- The Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 24.4% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 61.4% of games.
To Go To Overtime
- The Mavericks have played in six games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Thunder have also appeared in six.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 47 of Dallas' 86 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 33 of Oklahoma City's 101 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Oklahoma City recorded a 100-87 victory over Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on March 1, 2026. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 30 points and four steals. The Thunder have now won three straight against the Mavericks.
NBA Injury News – Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks (October 28, 2026)
The Thunder listed Holmgren as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against Dallas.
Williams has been diagnosed with a dislocated left ankle and fractured fibula, which will require surgery, Shams Charania of ESPN.
The Thunder listed Mitchell as Questionable for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against Dallas.
Wallace has been diagnosed with a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will require surgery, Shams Charania of ESPN.
The Thunder listed Caruso as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against Dallas.
The Thunder listed Topic as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against Dallas.
The Thunder listed Sorber as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against Dallas.
The Mavericks listed Irving as Questionable for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against the Thunder.
The Mavericks listed Aldama as Doubtful for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against the Thunder.
The Mavericks listed Marshall as Questionable for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against the Thunder.
The Mavericks listed Lively II as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against the Thunder.
The Mavericks listed Martin as Questionable for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against the Thunder.
The Mavericks listed De Larrea as OUT for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against the Thunder.
The Mavericks listed Biberovic as Doubtful for Wednesday's (Oct. 28) game against the Thunder.
