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NFL Prop Bets: Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins - Week 4

The Miami Dolphins (0-3) face the Minnesota Vikings (3-0) at U.S. Bank Stadium for Week 4. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Vikings started the week as 10.0-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 10.5, leaving the Vikings at -650 and Dolphins at +470.

The total points line is set at 38.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 24-14 Minnesota.

  • The Dolphins (-108) have a 0-3-0 ATS record this season, while the Vikings (-112) hold a record of 3-0-0.
  • The Dolphins have a 1-2-0 O/U record this season (meaning one game has gone over the total points line and two have gone under). The Vikings also have a 1-2-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Dolphins are averaging 12.0 points per game this season (T31st in the league). Comparatively, the Vikings are performing better, averaging 23.7 (16th).
  • Defensively, the Dolphins are giving up a whopping 28.7 points per game this season (28th in the league), while the Vikings are giving up an average of 13.7 points (2nd).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 290.7, the Dolphins rank 26th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Vikings rank 32nd with 238.3 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Dolphins are giving up 335.3 per game this season (19th in the league), while the Vikings are giving up an average of 319.7 (12th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Dolphins have recorded 192.3 passing yards per game this season (23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Vikings' defense has given up 234.0 passing yards per game (22nd).
  • Meanwhile, the Vikings have recorded 137.0 passing yards per game this season (32nd in the league), while the Dolphins' defense has given up 231.0 passing yards per game (20th).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Dolphins have recorded 98.3 rushing yards per game this season (20th in the league). However, they may struggle to perform to that level against a Vikings defense which ranks 4th for opponent rushing yards, allowing 85.7 per game.
  • On the other hand, the Vikings have recorded 101.3 rushing yards per game this season (T16th in the league), while the Dolphins are giving up 104.3 rushing yards per game (T12th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Dolphins have recorded 3 total takeaways this season (T15th in the league), failing to perform to the same level as the Vikings, who have recorded 6 (T3rd).
  • On offense, the Dolphins have recorded 4 total giveaways this season (T17th in the league), while the Vikings have taken better care of the ball, recording 2 (T5th).

First to Score

The Dolphins are +165 to score first, while the Vikings are -215.

  • The Dolphins have scored first in zero of their three games this season.
  • The Vikings have scored first in two of their three games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Dolphins are +210 to record the first touchdown, while the Vikings are -255.

  • The Dolphins have recorded the first touchdown in zero of their three games this season.
  • The Vikings have recorded the first touchdown in one of their three games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Miami Touchdown0 / 3+474
    Miami Field Goal0 / 3+379
    Miami Safety0 / 3+5300
    Minnesota Touchdown0 / 3+147
    Minnesota Field Goal2 / 3+252
    Minnesota Safety0 / 3+6400

Which team will get a quick start?

The Dolphins are +278 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Vikings are -347.

  • The Dolphins have been the first to score 10 points in zero of their three games this season.
  • The Vikings have been the first to score 10 points in one of their three games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Vikings are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -285, while the Dolphins are +230.

  • The Dolphins have a 0-2-1 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Vikings hold a record of 1-1-1.

Last Time They Met

The Vikings recorded a 24-16 victory over the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium when these teams last met in Week 6, 2022. That result snapped the Dolphins' three-game winning streak against the Vikings at Hard Rock Stadium.