NFL Prop Bets: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons - Week 4
The Atlanta Falcons (1-2) face the New Orleans Saints (1-2) at Caesars Superdome for Week 4. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Saints started the week as 2.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.0, leaving the Saints at -155 and Falcons at +130.
The total points line is set at 48.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 26-23 New Orleans.
- The Falcons (-118) have a 1-2-0 ATS record this season, while the Saints (-102) hold a record of 2-1-0.
- The Falcons have a 1-2-0 O/U record this season (meaning one game has gone over the total points line and two have gone under). The Saints have a 2-1-0 O/U record.
Points on the board
- The Falcons are averaging 17.0 points per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Saints are performing better, averaging 27.0 (11th).
Moving the chains
- With an average of 340.7, the Falcons rank 11th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Saints rank 8th with 382.7 yards per game.
- In terms of yards allowed, the Falcons are giving up 310.7 per game this season (8th in the league), outperforming the Saints, who are giving up an average of 340.3 (20th).
Ascendency in the air
- The Falcons have recorded 167.7 passing yards per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Saints' defense has given up 211.7 passing yards per game (16th).
- Meanwhile, the Saints have recorded 281.3 passing yards per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Falcons' defense has given up 263.0 passing yards per game (29th).
Advantage on the ground
- Looking at the ground game, the Falcons have recorded an impressive 173.0 rushing yards per game this season (2nd in the league). This is likely to be an area they look to exploit against the Saints, who rank 27th for opponent rushing yards, conceding 128.7 per game.
- On the other hand, the Saints have recorded 101.3 rushing yards per game this season (T16th in the league), while the Falcons are giving up 47.7 rushing yards per game (1st).
Protecting the ball
- Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Falcons have recorded 2 total takeaways this season (T23rd in the league), while the Saints have recorded 3 (T15th).
- On offense, the Falcons have recorded 8 total giveaways this season (T31st in the league), while the Saints have recorded 7 (T29th).
First to Score
The Falcons are -105 to score first, while the Saints are -125.
- The Falcons have scored first in zero of their three games this season.
- The Saints have also scored first in zero of their three games.
Which team will score the first touchdown?
The Falcons are +115 to record the first touchdown, while the Saints are -140.
- The Falcons have recorded the first touchdown in one of their three games this season.
- The Saints have also recorded the first touchdown in one of their three games.
First Scoring Play
| Play | Frequency | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Touchdown | 0 / 3 | +252 |
| Atlanta Field Goal | 0 / 3 | +335 |
| Atlanta Safety | 0 / 3 | +7000 |
| New Orleans Touchdown | 0 / 3 | +184 |
| New Orleans Field Goal | 0 / 3 | +369 |
| New Orleans Safety | 0 / 3 | +6100 |
Which team will get a quick start?
The Falcons are +113 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Saints are -140.
- The Falcons have been the first to score 10 points in one of their three games this season.
- The Saints have been the first to score 10 points in zero of their three games this season.
First Quarter Moneyline
The Saints are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -135, while the Falcons are +114.
- The Falcons have a 1-1-1 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Saints hold a record of 1-2-0.
Last Time They Met
The Falcons recorded a 19-17 victory over the Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium when these teams last met in Week 18, 2025. The Falcons have now won three straight at Mercedes-Benz Stadium against the Saints.
