NFL Prop Bets: New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers - Week 9

The Green Bay Packers (5-3) face the New England Patriots (5-3) at Gillette Stadium for Week 9. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Patriots started the week as 2.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.0, leaving the Patriots at -170 and Packers at +142.

The total points line is set at 46.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 25-22 New England.

• The Packers (-105) have a 5-2-1 ATS record this season, while the Patriots (-115) hold a record of 3-3-2.
• The Packers have a 2-6-0 O/U record this season (meaning two games have gone over the total points line and six have gone under). The Patriots have a 5-3-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

• The Packers are averaging 21.4 points per game this season (T23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Patriots are averaging 23.0 (16th).
• Defensively, the Packers are giving up 20.5 points per game this season (10th in the league), while the Patriots are giving up an average of 20.3 points (9th).

Moving the chains

• With an average of just 331.6, the Packers rank 18th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Patriots rank 8th with 367.3 yards per game.
• In terms of yards allowed, the Packers are giving up 314.9 per game this season (10th in the league), while the Patriots are giving up an average of 309.9 (8th).

Ascendency in the air

• The Packers have recorded 271.0 passing yards per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Patriots' defense has given up 217.3 passing yards per game (13th).
• Meanwhile, the Patriots have recorded 244.1 passing yards per game this season (11th in the league), while the Packers' defense has given up 204.0 passing yards per game (8th).

Advantage on the ground

• Looking at the ground game, the Packers have recorded 60.6 rushing yards per game this season (32nd in the league). Conversely, the Patriots are giving up 92.6 rushing yards per game (6th).
• On the other hand, the Patriots have recorded 123.1 rushing yards per game this season (12th in the league), while the Packers are giving up 110.9 rushing yards per game (15th).

Protecting the ball

• Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Packers have recorded 15 total takeaways this season (2nd in the league), while the Patriots have failed to perform at the same level, recording 8 (T21st).
• On offense, the Packers have recorded 11 total giveaways this season (T19th in the league), bettering the Patriots' number of 15 (T29th).

First to Score

The Packers are +100 to score first, while the Patriots are -130.

• The Packers have scored first in six of their eight games this season.
• The Patriots have scored first in five of their eight games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Packers are +110 to record the first touchdown, while the Patriots are -140.

• The Packers have recorded the first touchdown in seven of their eight games this season.
• The Patriots have recorded the first touchdown in five of their eight games this season.

First Scoring Play

Play	Frequency	Odds
Green Bay Touchdown	5 / 8	+240
Green Bay Field Goal	1 / 8	+368
Green Bay Safety	0 / 8	+5800
New England Touchdown	4 / 8	+171
New England Field Goal	1 / 8	+403
New England Safety	0 / 8	+5800

Which team will get a quick start?

The Packers are +116 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Patriots are -144.

• The Packers have been the first to score 10 points in four of their eight games this season.
• The Patriots have been the first to score 10 points in five of their eight games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Patriots are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -135, while the Packers are +114.

• The Packers have a 4-0-4 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Patriots hold a record of 4-1-3.

Last Time They Met

The Packers recorded a 27-24 overtime victory over the Patriots at Lambeau Field when these teams last met in Week 4, 2022.