home team icon
away team icon

NFL Prop Bets: Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills - Week 9

The Buffalo Bills (6-1) face the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) at U.S. Bank Stadium for Week 9. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Bills started the week as 3.0-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.5, leaving the Bills at -180 and Vikings at +150.

The total points line is set at 45.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 24-21 Buffalo.

  • The Bills (-102) have a 5-2-0 ATS record this season, while the Vikings (-118) hold a record of 4-3-0.
  • The Bills have a 5-2-0 O/U record this season (meaning five games have gone over the total points line and two have gone under). The Vikings have a 1-6-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Bills are averaging 33.3 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Vikings are averaging only 20.0 (27th).
  • Defensively, the Bills are giving up a whopping 25.9 points per game this season (T24th in the league), while the Vikings are giving up an average of 13.3 points (1st).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 393.1, the Bills rank 2nd in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Vikings rank 29th with just 279.4 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Bills are giving up 352.1 per game this season (24th in the league), an inferior number to the Vikings, who are giving up an average of 271.6 (2nd).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Bills have recorded 244.7 passing yards per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Vikings' defense has given up 154.9 passing yards per game (1st).
  • Meanwhile, the Vikings have recorded 165.6 passing yards per game this season (31st in the league), while the Bills' defense has given up 254.7 passing yards per game (30th).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Bills have recorded 148.4 rushing yards per game this season (3rd in the league). Conversely, the Vikings are giving up 116.7 rushing yards per game (17th).
  • On the other hand, the Vikings have recorded 113.9 rushing yards per game this season (17th in the league), while the Bills are giving up 97.4 rushing yards per game (10th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Bills have recorded 9 total takeaways this season (T18th in the league), failing to perform to the same level as the Vikings, who have recorded 12 (T6th).
  • On offense, the Bills have recorded 11 total giveaways this season (T19th in the league), while the Vikings have taken better care of the ball, recording 5 (T4th).

First to Score

The Bills are -130 to score first, while the Vikings are +100.

  • The Bills have scored first in five of their seven games this season.
  • The Vikings have scored first in four of their seven games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Bills are -140 to record the first touchdown, while the Vikings are +115.

  • The Bills have recorded the first touchdown in two of their seven games this season.
  • The Vikings have also recorded the first touchdown in two of their seven games.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Buffalo Touchdown2 / 7+181
    Buffalo Field Goal3 / 7+355
    Buffalo Safety0 / 7+6400
    Minnesota Touchdown0 / 7+257
    Minnesota Field Goal4 / 7+350
    Minnesota Safety0 / 7+6300

Which team will get a quick start?

The Bills are -152 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Vikings are +123.

  • The Bills have been the first to score 10 points in five of their seven games this season.
  • The Vikings have been the first to score 10 points in three of their seven games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Bills are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -142, while the Vikings are +120.

  • The Bills have a 3-4-0 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Vikings hold a record of 3-3-1.

Last Time They Met

The Vikings recorded a 33-30 overtime victory over the Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium when these teams last met in Week 10, 2022.