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NFL Prop Bets: Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Week 9

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) face the Chicago Bears (6-2) at Soldier Field for Week 9. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Bears started the week as 4.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.0, leaving the Bears at -298 and Buccaneers at +240.

The total points line is set at 47.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 27-21 Chicago.

  • The Buccaneers (-108) have a 3-5-0 ATS record this season, while the Bears (-112) hold a record of 6-2-0.
  • The Buccaneers have a 4-4-0 O/U record this season (meaning four games have gone over the total points line and four have gone under). The Bears also have a 4-4-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Buccaneers are averaging 22.3 points per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Bears are performing better, averaging 26.8 (8th).
  • Defensively, the Buccaneers are giving up 18.9 points per game this season (5th in the league), while the Bears are giving up an average of 20.0 points (8th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of just 300.0, the Buccaneers rank 25th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Bears rank 3rd with 387.3 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Buccaneers are giving up 285.9 per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Bears are giving up an average of 305.8 (7th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Buccaneers have recorded 131.4 passing yards per game this season (32nd in the league). Comparatively, the Bears' defense has given up 219.0 passing yards per game (14th).
  • Meanwhile, the Bears have recorded 236.5 passing yards per game this season (13th in the league), while the Buccaneers' defense is conceding 205.9 yards per game (9th) and although not rating significantly better, they may look to capitalise in this area.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Buccaneers have recorded 168.6 rushing yards per game this season (1st in the league). Conversely, the Bears are giving up 86.8 rushing yards per game (4th).
  • On the other hand, the Bears have recorded 150.8 rushing yards per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Buccaneers are giving up 80.0 rushing yards per game (2nd).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Buccaneers have recorded 16 total takeaways this season (1st in the league), while the Bears have recorded 11 (T8th).
  • On offense, the Buccaneers have recorded 12 total giveaways this season (T23rd in the league), while the Bears have recorded 12 (T23rd).
  • On offense, both teams have recorded 12 total giveaways this season (T23rd in the league).

First to Score

  • The Buccaneers have scored first in five of their eight games this season.
  • The Bears have also scored first in five of their eight games.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Buccaneers have recorded the first touchdown in four of their eight games this season.
  • The Bears have recorded the first touchdown in five of their eight games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Tampa Bay Touchdown1 / 8
    Tampa Bay Field Goal4 / 8
    Tampa Bay Safety0 / 8
    Chicago Touchdown4 / 8
    Chicago Field Goal1 / 8
    Chicago Safety0 / 8

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Buccaneers have been the first to score 10 points in four of their eight games this season.
  • The Bears have been the first to score 10 points in six of their eight games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Bears are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -198, while the Buccaneers are +164.

  • The Buccaneers have a 4-3-1 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Bears hold a record of 6-1-1.

Last Time They Met

The Buccaneers recorded a 27-17 victory over the Bears at Raymond James Stadium when these teams last met in Week 2, 2023. The Buccaneers have now won four straight at Raymond James Stadium against the Bears.