NHL Prop Bets: Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs (March 14, 2026)
The Toronto Maple Leafs (28-27-11) face the Buffalo Sabres (40-20-6) at KeyBank Center. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Sabres are favored to win at -230. They're currently +102 to cover the -1.5 puck line while the Maple Leafs are -122 to cover the +1.5 puck line.
- The Maple Leafs have a 27-39 Puck Line record this season, while the Sabres hold a record of 39-27.
The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.
- The Maple Leafs have a 37-24-5 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total points line, 24 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Sabres have a 31-32-3 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Maple Leafs are averaging 3.15 goals per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Sabres are averaging +0.3 more at 3.47 goals (5th).
- Defensively, the Maple Leafs are giving up a whopping 3.48 goals per game this season (30th in the league), while the Sabres are giving up an average of 3.00 goals (13th).
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, Toronto is averaging 27.4 shots per game this season (21st in the NHL). Meanwhile, Buffalo is allowing its opposition 29.7 shots per game (28th).
- Flipping that script, the Maple Leafs are allowing 32.1 shots per game (32nd in the NHL), while the Sabres are averaging 28.1 shots (18th).
Power Play
- Toronto holds a power play percentage of 20.1%, ranking 20th in the league this season, while Buffalo sits 16th with 20.6% of its power play opportunities converted.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Maple Leafs have a penalty kill rate of 83.5% (ranked 3rd), compared to the Sabres at 82.7% (4th).
P1 Result
- Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 20-21-25 | 12-12-11 | 8-9-14 | 0-4-6 |
| Buffalo | 23-22-21 | 14-10-9 | 9-12-12 | 6-1-3 |
To Go To Overtime
Saturday's matchup is +320 to go to overtime.
- The Maple Leafs have played in 19 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Sabres have appeared in 12.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Maple Leafs have played in 4 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Sabres have appeared in 3.
Last Time They Met
Buffalo recorded a 4-7 victory over Toronto at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on January 27. Rasmus Dahlin led the way to that result, recording 3 goals and 2 assists. That result snapped the Maple Leafs' three-game winning streak against the Sabres at Scotiabank Arena.
