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MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Game 1 (April 4, 2026)

The Milwaukee Brewers (5-1) face the Kansas City Royals (3-3) at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday at 2:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Chad Patrick is the probable pitcher for the Brewers, while Luinder Avila is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Royals opened as favorites but this has since changed, with the Brewers coming into -118 and Royals drifting to -102. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.

  • The Brewers (+141) have a 96-81 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Royals (-171) hold a record of 81-87 across the same span.
  • The Brewers have an 84-88-5 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 84 games have gone over the total runs line, 88 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Royals have a 72-94-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Brewers have scored 5.1 runs per game since the beginning of last season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Royals have averaged 4.0 over the same span (26th).
  • In the field, the Brewers have allowed just 3.9 runs per game since the beginning of last season (3rd in the league), while the Royals have allowed an average of 4.0 runs over that span (4th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Brewers are at .259 (ranking 2nd in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .247 (15th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Royals have hit 165 (T25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Brewers have managed 174 (22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Brewers have been outstanding since the beginning of last season, recording 793 RBIs to rank 6th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Royals have performed poorly in this area, recording only 661 RBIs to rank 26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Royals have an earned run average of 3.75 since the beginning of last season (6th in the Majors), while The Brewers have an ERA of 3.56 (2nd).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Brewers have recorded an impressive 1508 since the beginning of last season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Royals rank 27th for total strikeouts, recording only 1323.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .241 against the Royals since the beginning of last season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Brewers' opponents are at .229 (3rd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Brewers 34-47-96 17-20-55 17-27-41 24-26-58 10-21-38 0-0-0
    Royals 46-27-95 22-10-52 24-17-43 21-14-41 25-13-54 0-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

The Brewers are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Royals are -115.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Brewers 72-56-49 42-27-23 30-29-26 47-35-26 25-21-23 0-0-0
    Royals 65-59-44 32-27-25 33-32-19 32-25-19 33-34-25 0-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 93-84 in Brewers games since the beginning of last season. The Royals have a 93-75 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Brewers recorded a 3-2 extra innings victory over the Royals at American Family Field when these teams last met on April 2, 2025. Jackson Chourio was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs.