MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins (April 4, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (5-2) face the New York Yankees (6-1) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Max Meyer is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Ryan Weathers is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -186, while the Marlins are at +153. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.
- The Marlins (-136) have a 96-73 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Yankees (+113) hold a record of 87-89 across the same span.
- The Marlins have an 84-80-5 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 84 games have gone over the total runs line, 80 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Yankees have an 80-89-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins have scored 4.4 runs per game since the beginning of last season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees have averaged 5.2 over the same span (1st).
- In the field, the Marlins have allowed a whopping 4.9 runs per game since the beginning of last season (25th in the league), while the Yankees have allowed an average of 4.1 runs over that span (9th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Marlins are at .251 (ranking 7th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .250 (11th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Yankees are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 281 to rank 1st. Alternatively, the Marlins are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 162 (27th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 712 RBIs to rank T14th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 849 RBIs to rank 1st.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.79 since the beginning of last season (9th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.55 (25th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 1364 since the beginning of last season, ranking 22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 7th for total strikeouts, recording 1505.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .226 against the Yankees since the beginning of last season (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .246 (20th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 35-45-89 | 21-24-42 | 14-21-47 | 9-7-20 | 26-38-69 | 0-0-0 |
| Yankees | 62-29-85 | 28-16-43 | 34-13-42 | 51-24-77 | 11-5-8 | 0-0-0 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 57-69-43 | 28-30-29 | 29-39-14 | 17-13-6 | 40-56-37 | 0-0-0 |
| Yankees | 84-51-41 | 44-19-24 | 40-32-17 | 74-38-40 | 10-13-1 | 0-0-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 84-85 in Marlins games since the beginning of last season. The Yankees have a 79-97 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded an upset 8-2 victory over the Marlins at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Aaron Judge was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Marlins' four-game winning streak against the Yankees.
