MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays (April 4, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Rays (2-5) face the Minnesota Twins (3-4) at Target Field on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Steven Matz is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Mick Abel is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -112, while the Rays are at -108. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.
- These teams share an 80-89 Run Line record since the beginning of last season. The Rays are +153 to cover the run line while the Twins are -186.
- The Rays have a 77-81-11 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 77 games have gone over the total runs line, 81 have gone under and 11 have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 76-84-9 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Rays have scored 4.4 runs per game since the beginning of last season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins have averaged 4.2 over the same span (23rd).
- In the field, the Rays have allowed 4.3 runs per game since the beginning of last season (17th in the league), while the Twins have allowed an average of 4.8 runs over that span (23rd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Rays are at .252 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .238 (22nd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Twins have hit 199 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 188 (17th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 712 RBIs to rank T14th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 677 RBIs to rank T23rd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.54 since the beginning of last season (24th in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 4.02 (18th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 1467 since the beginning of last season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 1429.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .256 against the Twins since the beginning of last season (25th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .238 (10th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | 48-41-80 | 27-19-35 | 21-22-45 | 24-20-41 | 24-21-39 | 0-0-0 |
| Twins | 36-47-86 | 17-18-47 | 19-29-39 | 22-23-45 | 14-24-41 | 0-0-0 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | 66-64-39 | 34-34-13 | 32-30-26 | 36-32-17 | 30-32-22 | 0-0-0 |
| Twins | 57-75-37 | 32-31-19 | 25-44-18 | 31-38-21 | 26-37-16 | 0-0-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 77-92 in Rays games since the beginning of last season. The Twins have an 82-87 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Twins recorded a 10-4 victory over the Rays at Target Field yesterday. Tristan Gray went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 5 RBIs.
