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MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles (April 5, 2026)

The Baltimore Orioles (3-5) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-3) at PNC Park on Sunday at 2:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Chris Bassitt is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Braxton Ashcraft is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Pirates are favored to win at -131, while the Orioles are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • The Orioles (-186) have an 80-90 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Pirates (+153) hold a record of 94-76 across the same span.
  • The Orioles have a 70-93-7 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 70 games have gone over the total runs line, 93 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Pirates have a 66-97-7 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles have scored 4.2 runs per game since the beginning of last season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates have averaged 3.6 over the same span (30th).
  • In the field, the Orioles have allowed 4.8 runs per game since the beginning of last season (24th in the league), while the Pirates have allowed an average of 4.0 runs over that span (5th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Orioles are at .236 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting .231 (28th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Pirates have hit 127 (30th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 197 (14th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 675 RBIs to rank 25th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Pirates have recorded 598 RBIs to rank 30th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Pirates have one of the strongest earned run averages since the beginning of last season, sitting at 3.75 (6th in the Majors), while the Orioles are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.59 (26th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 1426 since the beginning of last season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Pirates rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 1393.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .235 against the Pirates since the beginning of last season (8th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .259 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Orioles 29-47-94 16-21-50 13-26-44 17-20-39 12-27-55 0-0-0
    Pirates 36-31-103 19-15-49 17-16-54 13-4-32 23-27-71 0-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Orioles 61-70-39 35-31-21 26-39-18 33-25-18 28-45-21 0-0-0
    Pirates 64-50-56 38-24-21 26-26-35 23-13-13 41-37-43 0-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 87-83 in Orioles games since the beginning of last season. The Pirates have a 96-74 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Pirates recorded a 3-2 victory over the Orioles at PNC Park yesterday. Bryan Reynolds led the way to that victory, hitting a home run. The Pirates have now won four straight at PNC Park against the Orioles.