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MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins (April 5, 2026)

The Miami Marlins (5-3) face the New York Yankees (7-1) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Chris Paddack is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Max Fried is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -280, while the Marlins are at +224. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Marlins (+109) have a 96-74 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Yankees (-131) hold a record of 88-89 across the same span.
  • The Marlins have an 85-80-5 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 85 games have gone over the total runs line, 80 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Yankees have an 81-89-7 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins have scored 4.4 runs per game since the beginning of last season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees have averaged 5.2 over the same span (1st).
  • In the field, the Marlins have allowed a whopping 4.9 runs per game since the beginning of last season (26th in the league), while the Yankees have allowed an average of 4.1 runs over that span (9th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Marlins are at .252 (ranking 7th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .249 (11th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Yankees are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 282 to rank 1st. Alternatively, the Marlins are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 162 (27th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 718 RBIs to rank T14th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 856 RBIs to rank 1st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.81 since the beginning of last season (10th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.57 (25th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 1375 since the beginning of last season, ranking T21st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 7th for total strikeouts, recording 1515.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .227 against the Yankees since the beginning of last season (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .246 (20th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Marlins 36-45-89 21-24-42 15-21-47 9-7-20 27-38-69 0-0-0
    Yankees 62-30-85 28-17-43 34-13-42 51-25-77 11-5-8 0-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Marlins 58-69-43 28-30-29 30-39-14 17-13-6 41-56-37 0-0-0
    Yankees 84-52-41 44-20-24 40-32-17 74-39-40 10-13-1 0-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 84-86 in Marlins games since the beginning of last season. The Yankees have a 79-98 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Yankees recorded an upset 9-7 victory over the Marlins at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Cody Bellinger went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.