MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals (April 6, 2026)
The Kansas City Royals (4-5) face the Cleveland Guardians (6-4) at Progressive Field on Monday at 6:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Tanner Bibee is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -115, while the Royals are at -105. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -120.
- The Royals (+157) have an 82-89 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Guardians (-192) hold a record of 96-79 across the same span.
- The Royals have a 74-95-2 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 74 games have gone over the total runs line, 95 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 76-92-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Royals have scored 4.0 runs per game since the beginning of last season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians have averaged 3.9 over the same span (28th).
- In the field, the Royals have allowed just 4.0 runs per game since the beginning of last season (5th in the league), while the Guardians have allowed an average of 4.0 runs over that span (6th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Royals are at .247 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .224 (29th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Guardians have hit 177 (T19th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 167 (26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 673 RBIs to rank 26th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 651 RBIs to rank 28th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.69 since the beginning of last season (4th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 3.78 (7th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 1358 since the beginning of last season, ranking 24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank T10th for total strikeouts, recording 1486.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Guardians since the beginning of last season (10th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .241 (15th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 46-29-96 | 22-12-53 | 24-17-43 | 21-15-41 | 25-14-55 | 0-0-0 |
| Guardians | 38-31-106 | 22-17-48 | 16-14-58 | 20-15-38 | 18-16-68 | 0-0-0 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 65-61-45 | 32-29-26 | 33-32-19 | 32-26-19 | 33-35-26 | 0-0-0 |
| Guardians | 63-63-49 | 31-33-23 | 32-30-26 | 30-24-19 | 33-39-30 | 0-0-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +115.
- The NRFI is 94-77 in Royals games since the beginning of last season. The Guardians have a 99-76 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded a 3-2 victory over the Royals at Progressive Field when these teams last met on September 11, 2025. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Vinnie Pasquantino went yard in that matchup, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.
