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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds (April 6, 2026)

The Cincinnati Reds (6-3) face the Miami Marlins (6-3) at LoanDepot Park on Monday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Brandon Williamson is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Janson Junk is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -131, while the Reds are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Reds (-199) have an 87-86 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Marlins (+163) hold a record of 97-74 across the same span.
  • The Reds have a 64-99-10 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 64 games have gone over the total runs line, 99 have gone under and 10 have resulted in a push). The Marlins have an 86-80-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Reds have scored 4.3 runs per game since the beginning of last season (T17th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins have averaged 4.4 over the same span (15th).
  • In the field, the Reds have allowed 4.2 runs per game since the beginning of last season (10th in the league), while the Marlins have allowed an average of 4.9 runs over that span (26th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Reds are at .243 (ranking 20th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .252 (8th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Marlins have hit 162 (27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 176 (T21st).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 702 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 725 RBIs to rank 14th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.57 since the beginning of last season (25th in the Majors), while The Reds have an ERA of 3.83 (12th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 1468 since the beginning of last season, ranking 13th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 1384.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .245 against the Marlins since the beginning of last season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds' opponents are at .233 (6th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Reds 44-35-94 28-12-46 15-23-48 22-14-38 22-21-56 1-0-0
    Marlins 36-46-89 21-24-42 15-22-47 9-7-20 27-39-69 0-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Reds 59-62-52 35-26-25 24-35-27 24-22-28 35-40-24 0-1-0
    Marlins 58-70-43 28-30-29 30-40-14 17-13-6 41-57-37 0-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 90-83 in Reds games since the beginning of last season. The Marlins have an 84-87 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Reds recorded a 6-0 victory over the Marlins at Great American Ball Park when these teams last met on July 10, 2025. Elly De La Cruz went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.