MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals (April 28, 2026)
The Washington Nationals (13-16) face the New York Mets (9-19) at Citi Field on Tuesday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Zack Littell is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Clay Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -186, while the Nationals are at +153. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.
- The Nationals (-143) have a 17-12 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+119) hold a record of 9-19.
- The Nationals have a 19-9-1 O/U record this season (meaning 19 games have gone over the total runs line, nine have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Mets have an 11-15-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Nationals are averaging 5.4 runs per game this season (T3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 3.3 (30th).
- In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.9 runs per game this season (29th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (13th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .243 (ranking 12th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .226 (27th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 20 (T27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 34 (T11th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have been outstanding this season, recording 143 RBIs to rank T3rd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Mets have performed poorly in this area, recording only 86 RBIs to rank 30th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 4.01 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 5.24 (29th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 230 this season, ranking T22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 254.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Mets this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .264 (28th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 11-5-13 | 7-2-4 | 4-3-9 | 0-1-0 | 11-4-13 | 0-0-0 | 5-0-5 |
| Mets | 7-5-16 | 6-2-7 | 1-3-9 | 7-3-10 | 0-2-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Nationals are +140 to lead after three innings, while the Mets are -180.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 10-12-7 | 6-5-2 | 4-7-5 | 0-0-1 | 10-12-6 | 0-0-0 | 5-2-3 |
| Mets | 10-11-7 | 7-6-2 | 3-5-5 | 8-8-4 | 2-3-3 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 13-16 in Nationals games this season. The Mets have a 14-14 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Nationals recorded a shock 3-2 victory over the Mets at Citi Field when these teams last met on September 21, 2025. Nasim Nunez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs.
