MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners (April 28, 2026)
The Seattle Mariners (14-16) face the Minnesota Twins (13-16) at Target Field on Tuesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Logan Gilbert is the probable pitcher for the Mariners, while Joe Ryan is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Mariners are favored to win at -131, while the Twins are at +109. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.
- The Mariners (+129) have a 12-18 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-156) hold a record of 15-14.
- The Mariners have a 14-16-0 O/U record this season (meaning 14 games have gone over the total runs line and 16 have gone under). The Twins have a 16-12-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.9 more at 4.9 runs (7th).
- In the field, the Mariners are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.7 runs (19th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mariners are at .232 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .231 (25th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 35 (T9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mariners have managed 32 (13th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mariners have recorded 119 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 138 RBIs to rank 8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.30 this season (19th in the Majors), while The Mariners have an ERA of 3.78 (7th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mariners have recorded 241 this season, ranking T15th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T22nd for total strikeouts, recording 230.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .251 against the Twins this season (22nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mariners' opponents are at .261 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | 8-8-14 | 7-6-4 | 1-2-10 | 8-7-11 | 0-1-3 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Twins | 7-6-16 | 6-1-7 | 1-5-9 | 2-0-3 | 5-6-13 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Mariners are -125 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are -105.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | 11-12-7 | 8-6-3 | 3-6-4 | 9-11-6 | 2-1-1 | 0-0-0 | 4-5-1 |
| Twins | 13-11-5 | 8-3-3 | 5-8-2 | 3-1-1 | 10-10-4 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -155 and the YRFI is paying +120.
- The NRFI is 11-19 in Mariners games this season. The Twins have a 16-13 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Twins recorded an 11-4 victory over the Mariners at Target Field yesterday. Kody Clemens was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 5 RBIs. The Twins have now won three straight against the Mariners.
