MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles (May 1, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (15-16) face the New York Yankees (20-11) at Yankee Stadium on Friday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Cade Povich is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Will Warren is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -175, while the Orioles are at +144. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.
- The Orioles (-143) have a 14-17 Run Line record this season, while the Yankees (+119) hold a record of 17-14.
- The Orioles have a 19-12-0 O/U record this season (meaning 19 games have gone over the total runs line and 12 have gone under). The Yankees have a 12-17-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging 4.9 (8th).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (25th in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.4 runs (2nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .237 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .229 (25th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 48 (1st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 37 (T11th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 144 RBIs to rank T11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 145 RBIs to rank 10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.11 this season (1st in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.29 (20th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 266 this season, ranking 13th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 12th for total strikeouts, recording 268.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .222 against the Yankees this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .265 (29th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 4-4-23 | 3-2-13 | 1-2-10 | 3-2-17 | 1-2-6 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
| Yankees | 11-6-14 | 6-3-4 | 5-3-10 | 10-6-13 | 1-0-1 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 9-13-9 | 7-7-4 | 2-6-5 | 6-9-7 | 3-4-2 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Yankees | 17-8-6 | 8-3-2 | 9-5-4 | 15-8-6 | 2-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
- The NRFI is 22-9 in Orioles games this season. The Yankees have a 13-18 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded an upset 3-2 victory over the Orioles at Yankee Stadium when these teams last met on September 28, 2025. Ben Rice was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 2 RBIs. The Yankees have now won five straight against the Orioles.
