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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (May 1, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (14-17) face the Minnesota Twins (14-18) at Target Field on Friday at 8:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Patrick Corbin is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Simeon Woods-Richardson is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -112, while the Blue Jays are at -108. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Blue Jays (+145) have a 13-18 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-176) hold a record of 16-16.
  • The Blue Jays have a 15-15-1 O/U record this season (meaning 15 games have gone over the total runs line, 15 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Twins have a 17-12-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.9 more at 4.8 runs (9th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.7 runs per game this season (21st in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.7 runs (20th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .248 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .232 (23rd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 38 (T9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 26 (25th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 119 RBIs to rank T22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 148 RBIs to rank 8th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.31 this season (21st in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.24 (19th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 294 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T21st for total strikeouts, recording 249.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .250 against the Twins this season (22nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .242 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 6-8-17 4-4-10 2-4-7 6-6-9 0-2-8 0-0-0 1-3-6
    Twins 7-6-19 6-1-10 1-5-9 2-0-3 5-6-16 0-0-0 0-3-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 10-11-10 7-7-4 3-4-6 8-7-6 2-4-4 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Twins 13-12-7 8-4-5 5-8-2 3-1-1 10-11-6 0-0-0 1-6-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 16-15 in Blue Jays games this season. The Twins have a 19-13 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded a 7-1 victory over the Blue Jays at Target Field yesterday. Byron Buxton was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. The Twins have now won three straight against the Blue Jays.