MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (May 7, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Rays (24-12) face the Boston Red Sox (16-21) at Fenway Park on Thursday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Griffin Jax is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Jake Bennett is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -122, while the Rays are at +102. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Rays (+162) have a 22-14 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (-197) hold a record of 13-24.
- The Rays have a 16-17-3 O/U record this season (meaning 16 games have gone over the total runs line, 17 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have an 18-18-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Rays are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging 4.0 (24th).
- In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.0 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (10th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .254 (ranking 5th in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .237 (19th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 27 (T27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 30 (T25th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 149 RBIs to rank T18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 142 RBIs to rank T25th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Red Sox have an earned run average of 4.00 this season (14th in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.55 (4th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 281 this season, ranking 27th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 298.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .244 against the Red Sox this season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .221 (4th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | 7-8-21 | 3-5-10 | 4-3-11 | 4-6-13 | 3-2-8 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
| Red Sox | 4-11-22 | 1-3-12 | 3-8-10 | 1-7-16 | 3-4-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Rays are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Red Sox are -120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | 15-13-8 | 8-5-5 | 7-8-3 | 11-9-3 | 4-4-5 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Red Sox | 12-14-11 | 7-5-4 | 5-9-7 | 7-8-9 | 5-6-2 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 20-16 in Rays games this season. The Red Sox have a 21-16 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Rays recorded a 7-3 victory over the Red Sox at George M. Steinbrenner Field when these teams last met on September 21, 2025. Brandon Lowe went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. That result snapped the Red Sox's eight-game winning streak against the Rays.
