MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles (May 7, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (17-20) face the Miami Marlins (16-21) at LoanDepot Park on Thursday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Cade Povich is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Max Meyer is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -122, while the Orioles are at +102. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.
- These teams share a 16-21 Run Line record this season. The Orioles are +154 to cover the run line while the Marlins are -187.
- The Orioles have a 24-12-1 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total runs line, 12 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 22-13-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.2 (T18th).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing a whopping 5.6 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (16th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .234 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .250 (7th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 27 (T27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 40 (T13th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 168 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 149 RBIs to rank T18th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.12 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.88 (29th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 306 this season, ranking 19th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T16th for total strikeouts, recording 312.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .222 against the Marlins this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .271 (29th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 5-7-25 | 3-2-13 | 2-5-12 | 3-2-17 | 2-5-8 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
| Marlins | 7-8-22 | 4-3-15 | 3-5-7 | 4-2-16 | 3-6-6 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Orioles are +105 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are -135.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 10-17-10 | 7-7-4 | 3-10-6 | 6-9-7 | 4-8-3 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Marlins | 15-14-8 | 9-7-6 | 6-7-2 | 10-6-6 | 5-8-2 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 23-14 in Orioles games this season. The Marlins have a 19-18 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Orioles recorded a 7-4 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Adley Rutschman went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. The Orioles have now won three straight at LoanDepot Park against the Marlins.
