MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins (May 7, 2026)
The Minnesota Twins (16-21) face the Washington Nationals (17-20) at Nationals Park on Thursday at 1:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Simeon Woods-Richardson is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while Jake Irvin is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Twins opened as favorites but this matchup has since become a pick'em, with both the Twins and Nationals at -110 to win. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.
- The Twins (+149) have an 18-19 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-181) hold a record of 21-16.
- The Twins have a 21-13-3 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total runs line, 13 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 23-13-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Twins are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging 5.4 (4th).
- In the field, the Twins are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (26th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.7 runs (29th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Twins are at .233 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .241 (14th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 41 (12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Twins have managed 42 (T10th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 170 RBIs to rank T9th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 184 RBIs to rank T3rd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.82 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Twins have an ERA of 4.72 (25th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Twins have recorded 283 this season, ranking T24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording 277.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .254 against the Nationals this season (22nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Twins' opponents are at .254 (23rd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 9-7-21 | 8-1-11 | 1-6-10 | 2-1-4 | 7-6-17 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Nationals | 13-8-16 | 8-4-6 | 5-4-10 | 0-1-0 | 13-7-16 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Twins are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Nationals are -120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 17-12-8 | 10-4-6 | 7-8-2 | 5-1-1 | 12-11-7 | 0-0-0 | 5-2-3 |
| Nationals | 11-17-9 | 6-9-3 | 5-8-6 | 0-0-1 | 11-17-8 | 0-0-0 | 1-5-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.
- The NRFI is 21-16 in Twins games this season. The Nationals have a 16-21 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Nationals recorded a lopsided 15-2 victory against the Twins at Nationals Park yesterday. CJ Abrams went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 5 RBIs. That result snapped the Twins' three-game winning streak against the Nationals at Nationals Park.
