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MLB Prop Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets (May 8, 2026)

The New York Mets (14-23) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (17-19) at Chase Field on Friday at 9:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Ryne Nelson is the probable pitcher for the Diamondbacks. The Mets are favored to win at -143, while the Diamondbacks are at +119. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.

  • The Mets (+113) have a 14-23 Run Line record this season, while the Diamondbacks (-136) hold a record of 22-14.
  • The Mets have a 14-21-2 O/U record this season (meaning 14 games have gone over the total runs line, 21 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Diamondbacks have an 18-14-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 3.6 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Diamondbacks are averaging +0.9 more at 4.5 runs (14th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (15th in the league), while the Diamondbacks are allowing an average of 5.2 runs (27th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .229 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Diamondbacks are batting .242 (15th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Diamondbacks have hit 35 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 30 (26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 127 RBIs to rank 29th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Diamondbacks have recorded 155 RBIs to rank T18th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Diamondbacks have an earned run average of 4.78 this season (26th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.01 (13th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded an impressive 351 this season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Diamondbacks rank 29th for total strikeouts, recording only 266.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Diamondbacks this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .235 (9th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 9-9-19 7-3-8 2-6-11 9-6-13 0-3-6 0-0-0 2-4-4
    Diamondbacks 8-11-17 4-5-7 4-6-8 3-2-5 5-9-12 0-0-2 1-4-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 13-14-10 8-7-3 5-7-7 11-10-7 2-4-3 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Diamondbacks 11-18-7 6-5-5 4-12-2 6-1-3 5-17-4 1-1-0 2-8-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 17-20 in Mets games this season. The Diamondbacks have a 14-22 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Diamondbacks recorded a 7-1 victory over the Mets at Citi Field when these teams last met on April 9. Gabriel Moreno went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.