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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals (May 8, 2026)

The Washington Nationals (18-20) face the Miami Marlins (17-21) at LoanDepot Park on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Foster Griffin is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Robby Snelling is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -126, while the Nationals are at +104. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -101 and UNDER at -119.

  • The Nationals (+157) have a 22-16 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-191) hold a record of 16-22.
  • The Nationals have a 24-13-1 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total runs line, 13 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 22-14-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals are averaging 5.4 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging only 4.2 (19th).
  • In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.7 runs per game this season (29th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (16th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .243 (ranking 14th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .248 (9th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 28 (27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 42 (T12th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 191 RBIs to rank T3rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 152 RBIs to rank 20th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.09 this season (14th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 4.83 (28th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 285 this season, ranking 28th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 320.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .224 against the Marlins this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .256 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 13-8-17 8-4-7 5-4-10 0-1-1 13-7-16 0-0-0 2-3-5
    Marlins 8-8-22 5-3-15 3-5-7 5-2-16 3-6-6 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 11-17-10 6-9-4 5-8-6 0-0-2 11-17-8 0-0-0 1-5-4
    Marlins 16-14-8 10-7-6 6-7-2 11-6-6 5-8-2 0-0-0 4-4-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -150 and the YRFI is paying +115.

  • The NRFI is 17-21 in Nationals games this season. The Marlins have a 19-19 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 5-0 victory over the Nationals at LoanDepot Park when these teams last met on September 11, 2025. Eric Wagaman went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.