MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds (May 15, 2026)
The Cincinnati Reds (23-21) face the Cleveland Guardians (24-21) at Progressive Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Andrew Abbott is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Tanner Bibee is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -137, while the Reds are at +114. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -111.
- The Reds (-186) have a 26-18 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (+153) hold a record of 23-22.
- The Reds have a 27-17-0 O/U record this season (meaning 27 games have gone over the total runs line and 17 have gone under). The Guardians have a 22-23-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 4.2 (23rd).
- In the field, the Reds are allowing a whopping 4.9 runs per game this season (T25th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (10th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Reds are at .224 (ranking 29th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .228 (27th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 42 (19th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 58 (T3rd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 177 RBIs to rank T17th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 179 RBIs to rank T15th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.81 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Reds have an ERA of 4.61 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 342 this season, ranking T22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 1st for total strikeouts, recording 420.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Guardians this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds' opponents are at .250 (21st).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 10-11-23 | 6-5-13 | 4-6-10 | 4-2-9 | 6-9-14 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Guardians | 10-7-28 | 5-3-14 | 5-4-14 | 5-5-14 | 5-2-14 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 13-19-12 | 8-10-6 | 5-9-6 | 6-5-4 | 7-14-8 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Guardians | 18-14-13 | 10-5-7 | 8-9-6 | 10-5-9 | 8-9-4 | 0-0-0 | 6-3-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 22-22 in Reds games this season. The Guardians have a 25-20 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded a lopsided 11-2 victory against the Reds at Progressive Field when these teams last met on June 11, 2025. Lane Thomas dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Reds' five-game winning streak against the Guardians.
